Find out why our college basketball betting picks believe the line on Washington State is far too steep as they take on the San Francisco Dons in the WCC Tournament quarterfinals.
Find out why our college basketball betting picks believe the line on Washington State is far too steep as they take on the San Francisco Dons in the WCC Tournament quarterfinals.Pour yourself a cup of your preferred caffeinated beverage and stay up late to catch a quarterfinal WCC Championship matchup between the No.
6 seed Washington State Cougars and the No. 3 seed San Francisco Dons tonight. Wazzu put forth a dazzling display in last night’s 94-77 throttling of LMU and will look to stay hot against a short-handed USF squad. Give me Washington State to pull off the upset. San Francisco got some extremely unfortunate news this week when it was announced that star guard Marcus Williams will be withheld from competition due to a potential NCAA rule violation. Part of what made USF an appealing team in March is that it had two terrific lead guards to pair with a stout defense, but now half of that equation is missing. Wazzu dominated its third-round game against LMU and is ready to capitalize. winning as a 3.5-point favorite at the Sobrato Center. That would imply that USF would be -1 on a neutral court, not -5, as is the case for this quarterfinal matchup. Add in the fact that second-leading scorer and leading assist man Marcus Williams will seemingly miss the contest, and something is awry. Williams and Malik Thomas are the only Dons averaging double-figures, so the entire game plan is now in doubt. USF was a wagon at home but was much more beatable on the road . The Dons rank 324th in Haslametrics’ away from home metric. Wazzu made me a believer with its thoroughly dominant 17-point triumph over LMU on Saturday. I was hesitant about the Cougars due to their poor finish to the regular season , but perhaps that is worth a revisit. After all, this program has a new head coach, a new conference, and is playing with almost an entirely new roster. Such is life after realignment. Some bumps in the road are to be expected along the way, especially when you’re one of two teams in the conference unfamiliar with the new venues and styles of play. The Cougars have five players averaging double figures led by Nate Calmese’s 15.2 ppg, and two of whom stand 6-foot-10 . Although they’re playing their second game in as many days, their willingness to share the wealth bodes well for longevity. The worry, of course, is a defense allowing 78.1 ppg and ranking 198th in adjusted efficiency . It’s unclear how USF’s offense will respond to Williams’ absence — he leads the team in Offensive Bayesian Performance Rating and makes the offense go as the floor general . His absence could come at the perfect time for the Cougs. I’m reticent to play an Under in the WCC Championship as teams have combined to go 5-0 O/U through the first three rounds. That being said, I can’t help but think that there’s some value in the Under given the uncertainty of USF’s offensive outlook sans Williams. The Dons have been terrific defensively, ranking 27th in adjusted efficiency since February 1 . Chris Gerlufsen is a fantastic coach and I’d expect him to maximize his team’s strengths by using their strong defense to slow down a red-hot Wazzu offense that has scored 90+ points in three consecutive games. The Cougars thrive when they space teams out and find open cuts to the rim . USF’s defense is elite at defending the arc and is a long, athletic, well-coached defense that theoretically should cut off some of those cuts to the paint and slow this game down. Plug your nose and take the Under. Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game CBB moneyline bet gets: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach. e's an integral member of the niche college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor. A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.Tony SartoriCopyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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