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dropped out of the race in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris in late July, ushering in a series of polls showing their new candidate in the lead. However, this enthusiasm appears to be fading, and Silver sees signs of Trump pulling off a comeback victory in November. His prediction model, updated on Wednesday, has Trump with a 58.2% chance of winning.
“The forecast is still in toss-up range, but Trump’s chances of winning are his highest since July 30,” Silver His model has given Trump a significant boost in a single week, with his odds going from 52.4% to 58.2%. Harris’s odds decreased from 47.3% to 41.6%.
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