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Silver’s model shows Trump has a 51.5% chance of clinching the Electoral College while Harris has a 48.1% chance, according to a Substack post on Sunday morning,“ swing state polls good for Harris but not great. Morning Consult swing state polls good for Trump but not great,” Silver
The Morning Consult poll shows Trump with razor-thin leads in North Carolina, Georgia, and Wisconsin while it’s a tie in Arizona and Pennsylvania, Forbes reported.from famed pollster J. Ann Selzer on Saturday that showed Harris topping Trump in Iowa 47% to 44% in the usually reliable red state. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at Jenison Field House on the campus of Michigan State University.“I think Harris voters are reasonable in rejoicing over the Selzer survey,” Silver wrote, according to Mediaite.
“If Trump had ‘momentum’ in October, it has now petered out in November,” Silver added. “And we will very likely go into Tuesday night with the race being truly a toss-up, not leaning or tilting toward Trump.”
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