Based on current forecasts from 270toWin, Harris has 226 electoral college votes and Trump has 219.
Pollster Nate Silver still doesn't know who's going to win the election, but at this point, he thinks Vice President Kamala Harris has the upper hand on former President Donald Trump.Harris has a slight edge on Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight's polling average, and is leading nationally by about 3 points.
Trump's still winning in his home state of Florida, according to polls, despite Harris gaining slightly with voters. Based on current projections, if Harris wins Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, she'll have 247 Electoral College votes. If she wins Pennsylvania, which is considered a toss-up, Trump will have to win Minnesota, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia to win the election.Since Silver's last update, Trump has gained, also minimally, in North Carolina, Minnesota and Texas.
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