A new survey from the University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs shows a tight Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate in Texas, with Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a slim lead over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn just weeks before voters head to the polls.
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– A new survey from the University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs shows a tight Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate in Texas, with Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a slim lead over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn just weeks before voters head to the polls. According to the poll, Paxton has the support of 48% of likely GOP runoff voters, compared to 45% for Cornyn.
With only 7% of voters still undecided, researchers say turnout could ultimately determine the winner.
“Just 7% of people who plan to vote haven’t decided, suggesting the candidate who is able to turn out his voters will determine the winner,” said Renée Cross with the Hobby School. The survey highlights clear divides between supporters of the two candidates: Paxton voters are more focused on immigration and border security, with 40% naming it their top issue. Cornyn voters are more concerned about inflation and cost of living, with 36% selecting it as their priority.
Despite those differences, both camps overwhelmingly believe their candidate is the strongest Republican to face Democrat James Talarico in the general election. About 86% of supporters on each side said their candidate is more electable. Researchers also found a strong link between education levels and candidate preference. Cornyn leads by 10 points among voters with a four-year college degree, while Paxton holds a 17-point advantage among those without one.
Paxton also appears to be benefiting more from voters who previously supported Wesley Hunt in the March primary. Among those voters, 53% now back Paxton, compared to 34% for Cornyn. In the attorney general race, state Sen. Mayes Middleton leads U.S. Rep.
Chip Roy 48% to 39%, with 13% undecided. For the Texas Railroad Commission, incumbent Jim Wright leads challenger Bo French 35% to 28%, though 37% of voters remain unsure. Among top Republican figures, Vice President JD Vance received the highest favorability rating at 81%, followed by Donald Trump , Ted Cruz , and Greg Abbott .
The survey was conducted between April 28 and May 1 among 1,200 likely runoff voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.83%. Happy National Small Business Week | Head to Fulshear on May 7th to shop 26 women-owned businessesGet ready Houston, we are about to see some rain in our area this afternoonFeliz Cinco de Mayo | The Enchilada Queen Sylvia Casares shares her perfect flour tortilla recipeMan accused of murdering pregnant wife in Houston Heights in 2024 flees to Italy ahead of trialSpirit Airlines shutdown is driving up airline ticket pricesPopular parking lot in Downtown Houston to be demolishedHouston Texans host annual charity golf tournament
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