Alabama’s Republican primary for U.S. Senate remains wide open with 40% of voters still undecided and the state sharply divided along geographic lines, according to exclusive polling conducted for Gray Television Alabama stations and Alabama Daily News.
) - Alabama ’s Republican primary for U.S. Senate remains wide open with 40% of voters still undecided and the state sharply divided along geographic lines, according to exclusive polling conducted for Gray Television Alabama stations and Alabama Daily News .
The survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters found U.S. Rep. Barry Moore leading with 23%, followed by businessman Jared Hudson at 19% and Alabama Attorney General Steve Marshall at 14%. When undecided voters were pressed on which way they lean, Moore’s lead grew to 36%, with Marshall and Hudson tied at 25%. The poll was conducted April 29-30 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.38 percentage points.
Geographic divide defines Senate race The state is geographically cleaved in the Senate race, with the two halves showing almost nothing in common. Moore’s stronghold is south of Birmingham. He runs at 38% in the Montgomery-Selma-Dothan corridor and 29% in Mobile. Hudson’s base is north and central, he has 23% of the vote in both Huntsville and Birmingham, leading Moore outright in Birmingham 23% to 14% and essentially tying him in Huntsville.
Marshall competes in the same Birmingham-Huntsville territory as Hudson. He sits at 20% in Birmingham and 16% in Huntsville, while sitting at 6% in Montgomery-Dothan-Selma and 7% in the Mobile area. Trump Republicans fuel Moore’s lead Moore leads among the Trump bloc, drawing 30% from self-identified Trump Republicans, who make up 57% of the electorate. Hudson gets 19% of the Trump GOP vote, while Marshall gets 13%.
Traditional conservative Republicans, who comprise 40% of the electorate, are more divided. Marshall performs strongest among somewhat conservative voters at 21%, overlapping almost exactly with Hudson’s coalition. Hudson holds a notable lead in Birmingham, where he draws 23% compared to Moore’s 14%. He leads Moore among Birmingham Trump Republicans 21% to 16%, leads among Birmingham traditional conservatives 26% to 9%, and dominates among Birmingham voters under 35 with 50% support compared to Moore’s 4%.
Huntsville emerges as the most competitive market and potential tipping point. Moore and Hudson are statistically tied there at 24% and 23% respectively, with Marshall at 16% and 33% undecided. In the race for Attorney General, Katherine Robertson leads at 27% and has the strongest coalition of any candidate in the downballot races. Jay Mitchell sits at 14% and Pamela Casey at 11%, with 48% undecided.
, Alabama Supreme Court and Pamela Casey for District Attorney ) Robertson is strongest in Montgomery and Mobile. Among voters who participated in all four of the last primary elections, she draws 29% compared to 14% for Mitchell and 15% for Casey. The Lieutenant Governor’s race shows the highest level of uncertainty. Wes Allen leads at 18%, John Wahl sits at 13%, with 56% of the electorate undecided.
No other candidate breaks 4%. Wahl has President Trump’s endorsement, but the backing has not pushed him over the top. Allen’s best geography is Huntsville at 23%, while Wahl’s strongest showing is in Mobile at 23%. The combined other candidates: Nicole Jones Wadsworth at 4%, Rick Pate at 4%, Stewart Tankersly at 2%, and Patrick Bishop at 2%, add up to 12%.
Nicole Jones Wadsworth , Rick Pate , Stewart Tankersly and Patrick Bishop . , WSFA , Stewart Hill Tankersley campaign and Trinity Baptist Church )Younger voters show different preferences than older Republicans. Voters under 35 give Hudson 50% support in Birmingham, while voters 65 and older are more evenly distributed among candidates. Among extremely conservative voters, Moore draws 26% in the Senate race.
Very conservative voters, who make up 43% of the electorate, give Moore 27% and Hudson 20%. Women under 65 show stronger support for Hudson at 24% compared to 17% for Moore, while men 65 and older favor Moore at 32% compared to 21% for Hudson. The massive undecided numbers across all three races suggest the contests remain fluid with three weeks until the May 19 primary election. In the Senate race, 40% remain undecided on the initial ballot.
In the Attorney General race, 48% have not made up their minds. The Lieutenant Governor race shows the highest uncertainty at 56% undecided. The survey was conducted by Cygnal using online panel and text-to-web methods with known registered voters. Results were weighted to a likely 2026 Republican primary election voter universe.
Alabama Republican Primary 2026 WBRC WBRC 6 Fox 6 Myfoxal WSFA WTVY WTVM WALA WAFF News Politics Political News Alabama Republican Primary For U.S. Senate U.S. Senate Alabama's Republican Primary Gray Television Alabama Stations Alabama Daily News Gray Media U.S. Representative Barry Moore Jared Hudson Alabama Attorney General Steve Marshall Attorney General Steve Marshall Margin Of Error Geography Alabama 2026 Senate Race Montgomery-Selma-Dothan Corridor Mobile North Alabama Central Alabama Birmingham Huntsville President Donald Trump Electorate Trump Republicans GOP Conservative Republicans Conservative Birmingham Trump Republicans Traditional Conservatives Age Range Attorney General Race Katherine Robertson Downballot Races Jay Mitchell Pamela Casey Lieutenant Governor Wes Allen John Wahl Nicole Jones Wadsworth Rick Pate Stewart Tankersly Patrick Bishop Age Idealogy Undecided Voters Cygnal
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