Experts say China's targets to cut pollution don't go far enough

Xi Jinping News

Experts say China's targets to cut pollution don't go far enough
ChinaClimate ChangeGeneral News

Experts say China is likely to exceed its modest climate goals, but question if it will be enough to help the world curb warming. The world's largest carbon emitter submitted its 2035 goals to the United Nations this week. China aims to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 7% to 10% by 2035.

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Should you get one?From a few to more than 350, children and parents ride together to school as a 'bike bus'High in Peru’s Andes, villagers carry out centuries-old work of collecting salt, in photosThere are more than 100 autoimmune diseases, and they mostly strike women. Here's what to knowGemini AI to transform Google Maps into a more conversational experienceDivided Jewish leaders react with warnings and hope as New York elects Zohran Mamdani as mayorMarcha de Generación Z contra nuevo presidente de Perú deja un fallecido y más de 100 heridosFAA reduce tráfico aéreo en 10% en 40 mercados de"alto volumen" durante cierre de gobierno Should you get one?From a few to more than 350, children and parents ride together to school as a 'bike bus'High in Peru’s Andes, villagers carry out centuries-old work of collecting salt, in photosThere are more than 100 autoimmune diseases, and they mostly strike women. Here's what to knowGemini AI to transform Google Maps into a more conversational experienceDivided Jewish leaders react with warnings and hope as New York elects Zohran Mamdani as mayorMarcha de Generación Z contra nuevo presidente de Perú deja un fallecido y más de 100 heridosFAA reduce tráfico aéreo en 10% en 40 mercados de"alto volumen" durante cierre de gobiernoWind turbines operate along a solar farm near Weifang in eastern China’s Shandong province on March 22, 2024. Workers assemble the Zeekr 001 EV models at the Chinese automaker Zeekr assembly plant in Ningbo, east China’s Zhejiang Province, April 17, 2025. A mining truck operates in the Huaneng Yimin open-pit coal mine in Hulunbuir in northern China’s Inner Mongolia province China, Sept. 15, 2025. Sheep graze under solar panels in Hainan prefecture of western China’s Qinghai province on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. Guohua Power Station, a coal-fired power plant, operates as people sell items on a street in Dingzhou, Baoding, in the northern China’s Hebei province, Nov. 10, 2023. Wind turbines operate along a solar farm near Weifang in eastern China’s Shandong province on March 22, 2024. Wind turbines operate along a solar farm near Weifang in eastern China’s Shandong province on March 22, 2024. Workers assemble the Zeekr 001 EV models at the Chinese automaker Zeekr assembly plant in Ningbo, east China’s Zhejiang Province, April 17, 2025. Workers assemble the Zeekr 001 EV models at the Chinese automaker Zeekr assembly plant in Ningbo, east China’s Zhejiang Province, April 17, 2025. A mining truck operates in the Huaneng Yimin open-pit coal mine in Hulunbuir in northern China’s Inner Mongolia province China, Sept. 15, 2025. A mining truck operates in the Huaneng Yimin open-pit coal mine in Hulunbuir in northern China’s Inner Mongolia province China, Sept. 15, 2025. Sheep graze under solar panels in Hainan prefecture of western China’s Qinghai province on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. Sheep graze under solar panels in Hainan prefecture of western China’s Qinghai province on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. Guohua Power Station, a coal-fired power plant, operates as people sell items on a street in Dingzhou, Baoding, in the northern China’s Hebei province, Nov. 10, 2023. Guohua Power Station, a coal-fired power plant, operates as people sell items on a street in Dingzhou, Baoding, in the northern China’s Hebei province, Nov. 10, 2023. the government has set to cut carbon pollution, experts say. The question is whether that will be enough to help the world curb warming?, known as COP30, which is being hosted in Brazil and gets underway this week. China’s 2035 goals, a 35-page document submitted Monday, adds detail to the broad targets announced by leader Xi Jinping in late September.on climate are required to update their goals, called “Nationally Determined Contributions,” every five years. China’s goals are particularly important for two reasons: It is the world’s largest producer of emissions, which are the main cause of climate change, and it’s the global leader in the production of green technologies from wind and solar power to COP30 is about to begin in Brazil and countries are expected to submit their updated nationally determined contributions - the climate goals they set under the Paris Agreement to cut emissions and limit global warming to below 2 degrees Celsius, or 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit. Here’s why they matter.For the first time, China set a specific target for reducing emissions. However, it falls short of what analysts say is needed to meet the Paris goal of limiting average global temperature increase to 2 degrees Celsius , and ideally to 1.5 degrees Celsius , compared to the 1850s.Xi announced in a video message to a U.N. climate meeting in September that China would cut greenhouse gas emissions by 7% to 10% by 2035, and would strive to do even better than that. A mining truck operates in the Huaneng Yimin open-pit coal mine in Hulunbuir in northern China’s Inner Mongolia province China, Sept. 15, 2025. A mining truck operates in the Huaneng Yimin open-pit coal mine in Hulunbuir in northern China’s Inner Mongolia province China, Sept. 15, 2025. Modeling by multiple climate experts shows that China would need to cut emissions by around 30% for the world to be on track to the Paris goal. “This is disappointing as China has the opportunity to decarbonize faster,” Norah Zhang, an analyst at Climate Action Tracker, said after Xi’s announcement. Previously, China had not pledged to reduce its carbon dioxide emissions. Instead, it promised to reduce its emissions relative to the size of its economy — so they could still grow but at a slower pace than the economy. Its goal has been to have CO2 emissions peak before 2030.Beyond reducing emissions, China’s other 2035 targets include:— Reach 3,600 gigawatts of solar and wind capacity.Chinese expert says goals are appropriate Chai Qimin, a member of the group that developed China’s latest goals, says the criticism ignores the difference in development stage between rich nations and China. “No major economy in history has reduced its emissions by more than 10% within five years after peaking,” he told China Environment News, a news outlet under the Ministry of Ecology and Environment. Workers assemble the Zeekr 001 EV models at the Chinese automaker Zeekr assembly plant in Ningbo, east China’s Zhejiang Province, April 17, 2025. Workers assemble the Zeekr 001 EV models at the Chinese automaker Zeekr assembly plant in Ningbo, east China’s Zhejiang Province, April 17, 2025. China’s proposed emission reduction exceeds the combined reductions of Europe and the United States during the same historical period, he said. The 7%-10% reduction range covers both the best and worst-case scenarios, taking into account growing trade restrictions, threats to energy security and the possibility of slower-than-expected technological progress.blasted through a target of 1,200 gigawatts six years ahead of schedule and reached 1,680 gigawatts as of July, according to the National Energy Administration, giving China the world’s largest renewable energy capacity. Sheep graze under solar panels in Hainan prefecture of western China’s Qinghai province on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. Sheep graze under solar panels in Hainan prefecture of western China’s Qinghai province on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. The one area where it may fall short in is its emissions of CO2 relative to the size of the economy. That figure did fall 48% from 2005 to 2020, exceeding a promised 40%-46% reduction. But progress has slowed, and current trends suggest it won’t reach its target of reducing the intensity by 65% by 2030.or generation, noted Ryna Cui, an expert on coal phase-out strategies at the University of Maryland. She said that coal is the likely driver of China’s overall emissions. The targets do say China will “strictly control fossil fuel consumption” and promote the upgrading of coal power to make it more efficient and flexible and reduce its emissions. The government has been unwilling to give up on coal, which it sees as a more reliable source of energy, and has even encouraged coal plant construction in recent years. Guohua Power Station, a coal-fired power plant, operates as people sell items on a street in Dingzhou, Baoding, in the northern China’s Hebei province, Nov. 10, 2023. Guohua Power Station, a coal-fired power plant, operates as people sell items on a street in Dingzhou, Baoding, in the northern China’s Hebei province, Nov. 10, 2023. The Associated Press’ climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’sMoritsugu covers political, economic and social issues from Beijing for The Associated Press. He has also reported from New Delhi, Bangkok and Tokyo and is the AP’s former news director for Greater China and for Japan and the Koreas.

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