Wider armed conflict between India and China unlikely after 'violent' border clash, analysts say
in the world, with more than 340,000 reported cases, despite imposing a strict national lockdown between late-March and the end of May.
"The risk of miscalculation aside, we believe there is little appetite to beat the war drum," Miha Hribernik, head of Asia for risk insight at Verisk Maplecroft, wrote in a note. "Nevertheless, neither Modi nor Xi can afford to completely back down in what is an exceedingly complex and long-standing sovereignty dispute," Hribernik said. "We accordingly expect tensions along the disputed border areas to continue to simmer during the rest of the year, with neither side willing to pull back completely, but with little enthusiasm for further escalation."
Eurasia Group's Broderick added that the latest incident is expected to "poison" an already tense bilateral relationship. She said that skirmishes like the one that occurred Monday are likely to become more frequent as "China asserts more territorial claims and India starts to push back against Chinese incursions."
India is building a strategic road through the Galwan Valley in Ladakh and connecting the region to an airstrip, the Associated Press reported — a move China opposes.
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