Why this year’s climate conditions helped Hurricane Beryl smash records

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Why this year’s climate conditions helped Hurricane Beryl smash records
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Scientists predicted an active hurricane season, but a July Category 5 storm is still stunning.

Hurricane Beryl, the Atlantic Ocean’s first hurricane in 2024, began roaring across the Caribbean in late June, wreaking devastation on Grenada and other Windward Islands as it grew in power. It’s now swirling on like a buzzsaw toward Jamaica and Mexico’s Yucatán peninsula.On June 30, the storm became the earliest Atlantic hurricane on record to achieve Category 4 status.

Fueling Beryl’s fury are the superheated waters of the North Atlantic Ocean. Numerous teams of scientists have predicted that 2024’s Atlantic, as well as the pending onset of the La Niña phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, climate pattern , was primed with superhot waters to fuel powerful storms even before Hurricane Beryl began to organize.

Lightning sparkles in the swirling clouds of powerhouse Hurricane Beryl, the Atlantic’s earliest Category 5 storm on record, in this video captured by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s GOES East satellite on July 1, 2024.). That at least put the brakes on somewhat . This year, El Niño has already decayed away. is in the neutral phase now, headed toward La Niña. We expect to be in the full La Niña by the peak of the hurricane season. And La Niña enhances hurricane activity by reducing wind shear through the tropics. : That’s exactly the reason why the seasonal forecasts were the most aggressive forecasts they’ve ever produced. All you can do is take the conditions of previous years in simulations. But we’ve never had a year like this.

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