The campaign may have been underwhelming, but the outcome of Saturday’s vote in the Territory is tantalisingly unpredictable
urt the psychic crocodile doesn’t have a good track record picking Northern Territory elections. He got it badly wrong in“Who’ll win the NT election? I’ve got no fucking idea,” writes Bob Gosford, who has been posting dispatches about the Territory for almost two decades in his blogTerritorians go to the polls on Saturday. Labor has been in power for eight years – Michael Gunner led the party to two election wins but resigned in 2022, exhausted from the pandemic.
While the CLP appears to be in the contest, concerns remain about the effectiveness of its campaign outside Darwin, and the performance of the opposition leader, Lia Finocchiaro. The last time the CLP won government, in 2012, the party unexpectedly won over the bush. This time party sources say the campaign outside Darwin has been “very underwhelming” and there are concerns that two remote seats – Barkly and Namatjira – could buck the Territory-wide trend and scupper hope of a majority.in April as part of her campaign advertising. She has repeated the line that it was a decision that “not everyone agreed with, even in my own party”.
Gunner deliberately set out to run a boring “no surprises” government but integrity and transparency concerns have come to plague Labor too.Our Australian afternoon update breaks down the key stories of the day, telling you what’s happening and why it mattersSeasoned Territory poll watchers say it has been the opposite.
One of the biggest difficulties analysing NT politics is that Darwin is a particularly transient place. Some estimates suggest that up to half of the voters in Port Darwin – the CBD seat where most people live in city apartments – would have arrived in the Territory since 2020. Labor is particularly worried about the northern Darwin electorate of Wanguri – a seat it has held since 1989 – due to the retirement of Nicole Manison, the popular former treasurer. Manison holds Wanguri with a 17.3% margin.
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