On Thursday, the department of health hosted a Zoom call in which more models were presented than could fit on a catwalk in Milan. 'A number of the models suggest that South Africa will not have enough ICU beds for everyone who will need one'
A week ago, many were complaining about the lack of published models by government to explain the decision-making process around the Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic.
But models, especially because they are surrounded by fancy equations, can give a false sense of certainty. No one truly knows how the pandemic will play out. The South African Covid-19 modelling consortium mainly consists of researchers from Wits Cape Town and Stellenbosch universities, as well as the National Institute of Communicable Diseases. makes projections under optimistic and pessimistic scenarios with epidemic peaks in August and July, respectively.
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