Biden is viewed as the favorite by two forecasters who said Trump would win in 2016.
With four months until Election Day, two forecasters who predicted Donald Trump's 2016 victory see President Joe Biden as the favorite to win this November.While most polls and analysts said Trump would lose in 2016, a handful of forecasters foresaw Trump's defeat of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
His model is largely based on economic factors such as the growth and inflation rates.As of April 25, Fair believed Biden would receive about 51.7 percent of the two-party share of the popular vote. Notably, it's unclear whether that would necessarily translate into an Electoral College victory. His model also says that if Biden does not run again, Democrats would be favored to win only 49.6 percent of the popular vote.
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