Watching the Tropics: Hurricane Rafael heads into the Gulf; models say it won’t hit Florida

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Watching the Tropics: Hurricane Rafael heads into the Gulf; models say it won’t hit Florida
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Tropical Storm Rafael, Strengthening Expected

Read full article: Watching the Tropics: Hurricane Rafael heads into the Gulf; models say it won’t hit Florida Florida Democratic gubernatorial candidate Nikki Fried pauses after conceding the race to U.

S. Rep. Charlie Crist, Tuesday, Aug. 23, 2022, in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. Crist will face incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis in November. Florida Dems chair accuses DeSantis of ‘illegal campaign activity,’ claims that’s why marijuana initiative failed Read full article: Florida Dems chair accuses DeSantis of ‘illegal campaign activity,’ claims that’s why marijuana initiative failed FILE - Voters fill in their ballots for Florida's primary election in South Miami, Fla., Aug. 20, 2024. Research institute says Florida counties will have $406 million less over next 5 years under Amendment 5 Read full article: Research institute says Florida counties will have $406 million less over next 5 years under Amendment 5Keep your drink cold longer with these tumblers. See more Insider Deals here.Rafael is near the Isle of Youth, Cuba and will make landfall in western Cuba later on Wednesday. Rafael is forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico the evening. The system will not impact the Florida peninsula due to a high-pressure ridge steering the tropical storm west of the state.During the latter part of the forecast period, it appears that a mid-level ridge could build to the north of the tropical cyclone, forcing Rafael to turn to the west or south of west this weekend. This is a big shift from earlier projections showing a landfall from Louisiana to Texas and needs to be watched for further confirmation in future model runs. Moreover, hostile weather conditions in the Gulf are expected to develop making strengthening less favorable and Hurricane Rafael could weaken before any potential landfall.We are also watching a trough of low pressure producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. This system is expected to move generally westward during the next few days, and an area of low pressure could form near the northern Leeward Islands tonight or Thursday. Afterward, some gradual development of this system is possible toward the end of the week and into the early part of the weekend while it moves near or to the north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, and approaches the Southeast Bahamas.After covering the weather from every corner of Florida and doing marine research in the Gulf, Mark Collins settled in Jacksonville to forecast weather for The First Coast.

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Rafael Forecast Hurricane

 

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