That would lead to some 150,000 deaths (between 83,000 and 190,000) the study suggested.
The new coronavirus could kill 150,000 people in Africa in a year unless urgent action is taken, according to a WHO modelling study that says nearly a quarter of a billion people will be infected.
“Our model points to the scale of the problem for health systems if containment measures fail,” said the authors. Experts at the World Health Organization’s Africa office modelled likely rates of exposure to the virus and infection in the 47 countries under its regional remit, which excludes Djibouti, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Somalia, Sudan and Tunisia.
The modelling estimates what would happen for each country over the period of a year from the beginning of widespread and sustained community transmission.Researchers warned that surging hospital admissions for COVID-19 would divert already limited resources to tackle major health issues in the region, such as HIV, tuberculosis, malaria and malnutrition, worsening the impact of coronavirus.
The researchers said they expect the virus would likely circulate within the region for longer than other countries, possibly for several years. Members of the medical staff at the Mohammmed V military hospital, wear a protective masks and caps as they wait for patients, in the Moroccan capital Rabat . AFP/File/FADEL SENNA
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