Our Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee predictions are calling for the Commodores to vanquish the Volunteers in an outright upset on Saturday afternoon.
Our college football betting picks are calling for Vanderbilt to take down Tennessee in an outright upset on Saturday afternoon.More than state bragging rights will be on the line when the Vanderbilt Commodores visit the Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday.
Vandy and star QB Diego Pavia still have an outside shot at making the College Football Playoff, but that shot will be missed without a win over the Vols. It won’t be easy, as the Commodores will be slight underdogs in a matchup of two electric offenses.enter this SEC matchup with a 9-2 record and will attempt to win 10 games in a season for the first time in program history. They are, of course, led by QB Diego Pavia. The exciting dual-threat signal-caller has done it all for the Commodores, throwing for 2,924 yards with 26 touchdowns to just six interceptions while adding 661 yards and eight scores on the ground. Combine Pavia with some elite weapons like Sedrick Alexander and Eli Stowers, and you have one of the best offenses in the country. Vandy enters this game ranked second in EPA per play and third in offensive success rate, and they should face very little resistance on the ground in this one.’ season got derailed when it collapsed in an early-season matchup against Georgia. The Volunteers are 7-3 this season, with the most impressive win coming against Kentucky or Mississippi State. They are also 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. Joey Aguilar has been solid in Josh Heupel’s offense, ranking eighth in success rate and 15th in EPA per play. But as noted, a lot of that production has come against inferior opponents. And besides, that’s normally the issue with a Heupel team. Tennessee has surrendered at least 31 points in six of its seven SEC games this season, and it has been gashed by the run. The Vols rank 121st in the country in defensive success rate vs. the rush. That has resulted in them giving up lots of long scoring drives. They rank 77th in quality drive rate and 100th in points per quality drive. Aguilar and the Tennessee passing game will get theirs, but Pavia and Alexander will lead the way for the Commodores on the ground here, controlling the tempo of the game. Vanderbilt will show it’s the more physical and battle-tested team, earning the upset win for the Commodores.For Vanderbilt, the most productive guy outside of Pavia has been Sederick Alexander. The Commodores' do-it-all running back has scored 12 touchdowns this season, eight rushing and four receiving out of the backfield. Vandy does a great job of getting him the ball in space to let his skills take over. I don’t expect that to change in this matchup against Tennessee. Now, the Vols should have some success pushing the ball through the air against this Commodores pass defense that ranks 86th in success rate on dropbacks. That could mean a big day for Tennessee’s top receiver, Chris Brazzell II. Brazzell has been Aguilar's top target this season, catching 56 balls for 926 yards and eight scores.Let's add Eli Stowers and Star Thomas to this TD bonanza. Stowers is one of the best tight ends in the country, while Thomas has been getting some more work lately and has scored in three of his last four games.Vanderbilt has hit the team total Over in nine of its last 11 games for +6.70 Units and a 53% ROI. Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew"Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.College Football Predictions Week 14: Spreading the LoveCopyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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