Jason Logan's Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions believe Buddy Hield will step up in a big way on home court for Saturday's Game 3.
Jason Logan's Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions believe Buddy Hield will step up in a big way on home court for Saturday's Game 3.The Golden State Warriors got what they wanted in the first two games of this Western Conference semifinal with the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Golden State left the Land of Lakes with a series split, taking a 1-1 stalemate back to the Bay Area for Game 3 on Saturday night. What the Dubs didn’t want is to play this pivotal home game without superstar Stephen Curry, who is expected to sit Game 3 with a hamstring injury.at home, after the Dubs admittedly conceded Game 2. Moneyline pricing gives the visitor a 69% implied win probability, and I predict the T-Wolves coming away with a tightly contested victory.started this series with a pop, scoring 24 points in Game 1 with 22 of those tallies coming in the second half after Stephen Curry had left the game with a hamstring injury. He finished 7 for 19 from the floor with a 5-of-8 outing from 3-point range. His Game 2 output of 15 points was tempered a bit by coach Steve Kerr’s game plan to mix up his rotation, rest key players more, and basically be happy to get out of Minnesota with a 1-1 series count. Hield played only 29 minutes and finished just 5 for 14 from the floor, including 4 for 9 from distance, but didn’t really get into an offensive flow with so many bodies coming in and out. Once again, he did the bulk of that damage in the second half with 10 points in the Warriors’ late push. Game 3 will have a much more cohesive game plan than scrambling without Curry in Game 1 and playing 14 different guys in Game 2. And Hield will excel with those clear expectations.with 33 total field goal attempts. Hield has been red hot from deep as well, making nine of his 17 3-point attempts . He gets to come home to the Chase Center, where he looked fantastic with strong efforts in Games 3 and 4 versus Houston . Hield’s early player projections for Game 3 come in north of 15 points with those models projecting 32 minutes. However, he logged 40 minutes in Game 1 once Curry went down and that potential uptick in playing time lifts his forecasts beyond 18 points. I’m being a touch conservative with my number for Hield on Saturday, calling for 17 points from Golden State’s guard. That should have his Over 14.5 points priced at -170 rather than the shorter ask of -105 at bet365.Hield has been on fire from 3-point range and is taking a ton of shots with Curry sidelined. His ceiling could flirt with 20 points if he continues to shoot at the same rate.scored just 20 points in Game 2, but the Warriors were laying down, and he didn’t have to go “Full Ant-Man”. Expect him to attack on the road in Game 3. Butler is projected for more than six assists and will touch the ball a lot more with Curry out. He’ll find open options like Hield and Jonathan Kuminga.Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet getsYou can’t put too much weight in Game 2’s result, with the Warriors basically giving that game to Minnesota. Bookies opened the T-Wolves as 5-point road favorites, and we’ve seen the vig tick up from -110 to -115 on that key number, indicating a potential move to Minnesota -5.5. The Over/Under number opened at 201.5 points and has dropped a point to 200.5 O/U. The pace of the first two games has come in at a little quicker tempo than each team’s respective first-round series, producing a 1-1 O/U count so far. According to Covers Consensus, 53% of picks are taking the points with the home underdog in Game 3, while total bettors are giving the Over a 71% nod.The Warriors have gone Over the total in 12 of their last 21 playoff games as home underdogs . Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600. His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”Mike DiStefanoCopyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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