Our Timberwolves vs. Thunder predictions believe in Jaden McDaniels' offensive game.
Jaden McDaniels is in a shooting slump, but volume alone can get him past his scoring total of 14.5 tonight.Why is the NBA like this? Who gains from the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder playing each other until well past 11 p.
m. local time last night only to reconvene 800 miles away fewer than 20 hours later? This is foolish.will stay away from any side or total in this farce of a back-to-back, instead focusing on a reliable player prop before tip at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 24.to score at least 20 points with +230 odds. The logic was sound: Betting McDaniels to reach 16 points at -115 paled in comparative value to scoring 20 points at +230. Four more points of production were worth that jump in payout.He went just 5 of 15 from the field, undone by a 1 of 6 showing from deep. In his last three games, McDaniels has shot 43.8% from the field and 3-for-19 from deep, yet he has scored 21, 21 and 17 points, respectively. Frankly, opponents should fear the idea of McDaniels snapping out of this shooting slump. Since an adductor strain sidelined Julius Randle, McDaniels has scored at least 20 points in five of 10 games, playing that many more minutes at power forward and getting more touches overall. In that stretch, he has still shot just 29.8% from deep. In the long run, the Minnesota Timberwolves will be glad McDaniels has not lost any aggression in this stretch, shooting 4.7 threes per game compared to just 3.7 in the 48 games before Randle’s extended absence. In the short term, McDaniels just keeps missing, and it costs the Timberwolves. The “keeps” verb choice is intentional. As long as McDaniels keeps shooting, he is worth betting on. He has scored 38 points in two games against the Thunder in recent weeks despite going 2-for-12 from deep. Without Randle, with Rudy Gobert possibly limited, and with Oklahoma City focused on Anthony Edwards, trust McDaniels’s inefficient offensive barrage to continue.Anthony Edwards is settling more often, particularly since Randle’s injury. He's taken 13.4 threes per game since Jan. 31, making only 34.6%. Before Randle’s extended absence, Edwards took 9.8 threes per game, making 42.3%. Losing Minnesota’s second-best scorer has left Edwards facing more defensive pressure than he wants to drive through. It is costing the Timberwolves. Nonetheless, Edwards tends to make at least four 3-pointers every night. In his eight games without Randle, Edwards has cleared this prop in six, both exceptions coming by just the hook. Betting Minnesota to stay within the lofty number is a risk given the foolish schedule-making, but of its 27 losses this season, only four have come by such a big margin. And two of those four were clear moments when the young Timberwolves roster overlooked an inferior opponent, not a risk tonight.Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet getsAfter Monday night’s tight game, this spread opened with the home team favored by 12, spending some of the night at -12.5 before returning to -12. Jumping the spread by 3.5 points compared to last night’s number might be too short of a jump, given a usual homecourt switch should account for 4.5 or 5 points. However, given the outlandish scheduling here, some caution should be shown when making any adjustments.Minnesota is 4-1 against the spread on the second night of a back-to-back in 2025, while Oklahoma City is 2-3 ATS in those moments. Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds. In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets. While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.Jason LoganCopyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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