Ryan likely will need a bump from the debate to win the Senate seat from Ohio, especially if polls are as far off as they were for the 2020 presidential race.
had been projected to win Ohio by one point, according to a Siena College poll, but the state went to Trump by more than eight points. Analyzing the 2020 data suggests that Ryan would need a double-digit polling advantage to win next month.
Ohio Senate candidate Tim Ryan greets Somali community members at a marketplace in Columbus, Ohio. Ryan will debate his GOP opponent, J.D. Vance, on Monday night for the final time before the midterms.Winning over Ohio's undecided voters will be pivotal for Ryan. If he is looking for a 10-point lead, he will need the votes of the 9 percent of Ohioans who said they remain undecided as of October 7, an Emerson College poll found. The poll also showed Vance with a one-point lead.
Although the race is considered red-leaning, and Ohio has become increasingly Republican in recent years, the survey released last week showed that Ryan's support grew five points September, compared to Vance's two-point boost. The same poll found Biden with a 57 percent disapproval rating in Ohio, a finding that Ryan, who has said he doesn't believe Biden should run for reelection in 2024, has
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