About 20 people in South Africa die each day from the coronavirus, and this number may peak at 300, while positive cases may reach 8 000 a day, according to some projections
were presented to the country on Thursday last week in a Zoom call hosted by the department of health.
According to the Modelling Consortium, the long-term projections show the spike in mid-August. This is being optimistic: “Lockdown has flattened the curve and pushed the peak later.” The Actuarial Society of South Africa estimated that even with the lockdown there may still be about 50 000 deaths. That translates into about 500 deaths a day at the peak of the pandemic. , which in April was seeing more than 560 deaths a day. At that time about 30 000 people had tested positive for the coronavirus in that country.
This may or may not be the picture for South Africa, but at our peak, we will not be far off. On Sunday,made it clear once again that the lockdown would only delay the spread of the virus and would not be able to stop it. The hospitals can handle the number of patients, but by August there will be a shortage of intensive care beds, according to rough estimates by Deloitte for Business for South Africa.
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