Devastating flash floods in Central Texas have killed over 100 people, prompting scrutiny of whether authorities could have done more to prevent the tragedy. Failed efforts to establish a robust flood warning system in Kerr County, the epicenter of the floods, have become a focus of attention.
As Central Texas grapples with the devastating aftermath of flash floods that claimed over 100 lives this weekend, scrutiny is mounting over whether authorities could have done more to prevent this tragedy, both in the decades leading up to the disaster and in the critical moments following the Guadalupe River's overflow.
In recent years, multiple attempts in Kerr County to establish a robust flood warning system have faltered or been abandoned due to budgetary constraints, leaving the epicenter of this weekend's floods without emergency sirens that could have alerted residents to the rising waters. While at least one neighboring county issued evacuation orders in the early hours of July 4, Kerr County officials appear to have refrained from doing so. A review of typically confidential communications from a real-time messaging system operated by the National Weather Service (NWS) revealed that no emergency manager from Kerr County was sending messages or engaging with NWS staff on the platform, even as emergency officials from other counties were actively doing so. CNN was granted permission to access and report some of this information. The absence of messages doesn't definitively indicate that Kerr County officials weren't monitoring NWS communications and taking action accordingly. However, it raises serious questions about the local officials' actions, particularly during a crucial window between the NWS's first public warning alert at 1:14 a.m. and a more urgent flash flood warning issued several hours later. Some local officials have defended the decision against issuing widespread evacuations, citing concerns that vehicles could have become trapped in swiftly rising waters. Kerr County Emergency Management Coordinator W.B. “Dub” Thomas declined to comment when CNN sought his explanation of the county's actions in the early morning hours of Friday. “I don’t have time for an interview, so I’m going to cancel this call,” he stated. While the NWS issued numerous warnings early Friday morning as the danger escalated, it remains unclear how widely these warnings reached those in more remote areas where cell phone service might have been limited – including at Camp Mystic, where at least 27 campers and counselors perished. Caroline Cutrona, a counselor at Camp Mystic, told CNN that counselors were prohibited from keeping their phones at work, so she never received the NWS warnings. Cutrona had been in a higher-elevation area at the camp overnight and avoided the floods. However, some campers at Mystic were residing in areas previously identified as high-risk flood zones, according to government records. Ali Mostafavi, a civil engineering professor at Texas A&M University, asserted that the disaster exposed the inadequacy of preparations for flooding, highlighting a region he described as “one of the deadliest flash flood alleys in the nation.” Local warning systems “might have been adequate in the past,” Mostafavi said. “But for the new norm, they are not adequate.” Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick stated on Monday night that the area requires flood sirens and that the state would contribute to their funding. “There should have been sirens here,” Patrick told Fox News. “If the city can’t afford it, then the state will step up and we need to have these in place by the next summer.”Failed Plans for Warning System Local officials have long acknowledged the risk of deadly flooding in Kerr County. At a 2016 meeting, County Commissioner Tom Moser declared that Kerr was “probably the highest risk area in the state for flooding,” characterizing the county’s early warning system as “pretty antiquated” and “marginal at the best.” Moser, who retired from the commission in 2021, told CNN that his efforts to enhance the local system repeatedly encountered obstacles over the years. Following massive flooding in other areas of the Hill Country region in 2015, Moser said he researched how nearby Comal County had implemented sirens, established plans for closing low-water crossings, and made other flood preparations. He advocated for Kerr County to follow suit. However, some residents questioned the source of funding, while others expressed concern about noise: “Some people didn’t like the concept of sirens going off and disturbing everybody,” Moser said. One of his fellow commissioners, H. A. “Buster” Baldwin, voiced these concerns at a 2016 meeting. “The thought of our beautiful Kerr County having these damn sirens going off in the middle of night, I’m going to have to start drinking again to put up with y’all,” said Baldwin, who passed away in 2022, according to a transcript of the meeting. In 2017, officials from the county and the Upper Guadalupe River Authority, which manages the river, applied for $980,000 in Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) funds to build a flood warning system but were denied, as indicated by meeting minutes and public records.
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