An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
over the Caribbean. Westerly wind shear will be quite strong over the next several days but a turn in the forward movement to the north then N/NE may help mitigate some of the shear. Furthermore...the shear should weaken by late week though there will also be land interaction. Franklin will turn rather sharply to the north through Tue. moving over or at least very near Hispaniola lateTue./early Wed.
A Tropical Storm WARNING: Dominican Republic entire south coast from Haiti border eastward to Isla Saona... Haiti entire south coast from Anse d’Hainault eastward to the Dominican Republic border. A Tropical Storm WATCH: * Dominican Republic entire north and east coast from the Haiti border eastward and southward to Isla Saonatropical depression #6 & then was upgraded to tropical storm “Gert”
Right now the Bermuda high at the surface is displaced rather far to the east/northeast over the Atlantic... while a strong upper level ridge of high pressure is parked over the Central U.S. This pattern should more or less hold for at least the next 5-6 days. This set-up is helping to preserve the alleyway over the W. Atlantic... at least for this week.Check out the upper oceanic heat content [tropical cyclone heat potential/TCHP] across the SW Atlantic, Gulf & Caribbean.
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