March Madness picks, odds, and predictions for San Diego State Aztecs vs UConn Huskies. March Madness picks, including best bet and SGP.
The No. 1 team in the country gets its Sweet 16 matchup underway on Thursday when UConn takes on San Diego State. In a meeting of two teams with excellent defenses, our CBB betting picks believe points will be at a premium for one team in particular.as the favorites to win it all for a handful of reasons, but that praise began with the Huskies’ offense, not their defense.
Since Feb. 23, UConn has given up 88.8 points per 100 possessions, the No. 4 adjusted defense in the country,That kind of jump as the season has hit its most crucial stretch parallels what won UConn the national championship a year ago, going 6-0 ATS in the NCAA tournament and holding all six opponents below their team totals, doing so by an average of 8.25 points.
UConn ranked No. 3 in Big East play in giving up offensive boards. Cutting off that supply will be just another feature of this bettered Huskies defense, and it will cost the Aztecs any hopes of working the scoreboard.The closest an opponent came to covering the spread against UConn in last year’s tournament was seven points, Miami still losing by 13 in the Final Four. To some degree, that run of dominance was not properly appreciated.
Preventing easy entry passes and hounding his preferred offensive rebounds will cost San Diego State forward Jaedon LeDee hopes for a seventh straight game of more than 20 points.San Diego State’s plodding pace and defensive emphasis raise its floor, but they also shorten any variance in games, making it more difficult to cover the spread. Unsurprisingly, the Aztecs have gone just 2-6 ATS in the season’s homestretch.
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