Russia has a window of opportunity to step up offensives while it has the upper hand with firepower and troops, analysts say
A Ukrainian officer observes the firing of a 152-mm Self-Propelled Howitzer 2S3 towards Russian positions at the frontline, near Bakhmut in the Donetsk region prepares for its summer offensive, an official has warned, with Moscow announcing its plan to intensify strikes against weapons storage sites that house
James Black, assistant director of defence and security at Rand Europe, said the remarks were probably aimed at a domestic Russian audience to show Moscow is undeterred by the West’s support of Ukraine.
“Timely US and Western military assistance, particularly the provision of air defense systems and missiles, will be critical to Ukraine’s defence of Kharkiv city,” the ISW said Oleksandr Pivnenko, commander of Ukraine’s National Guard, said that while Russian troops may try to occupy Kharkiv City, they would have to “fight for years”, as he pointed to the months-long defence of Bakhmut and Avdiivka in the Donetsk region.
Military observers say Ukraine’s successful counteroffensive in 2022, in which it managed to take back large swathes of occupied territory, created unrealistic expectations in the West in 2023 about what might be achievable in terms of further counteroffensives from Kyiv against well-prepared Russian “defence in depth”.
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