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Republican Senate nominee Bernie Moreno is tied with Sen. Sherrod Brown in Ohio after eroding the incumbent Democrats’ once-substantial lead.
That spending has paid dividends. The NRSC polls show Brown’s approval and disapproval numbers are now dead even at 45 percent.Moreno’s trajectory is similar to that of Sen. JD Vance’s , who emerged from another bruising primary behind his Democrat opponent but steadily gained support.The polling and spending trends have encouraged Republicans.
Moreno has an advantage Vance did not have – Donald Trump’s name will be on the ballot. Trump won the state by eight points in 2016 and 2020 and is expected to carry the state again, driving supporters who might have sat out the 2022 midterms to the polls. Ohio is one of two red states Democrats must defend this cycle. In Montana, incumbent Sen. Jon Tester is seven points behind Republican challenger Tim Sheehy.Republicans are running strong in swing states as well, buoyed by Trump’s support. They hope to flip seats from incumbents, notably in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Nevada, and capture open seats in Michigan and a handful of other states.
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