Get the best Rays vs. Diamondbacks predictions ahead of Thursday's MLB clash. Free MLB picks and predictions for April 24.
The Tampa Bay Rays aren't exactly off to a hot start this season. As Chris Hatfield explains, they are in a position to win the series vs. Arizona, and the plus-money price is too good to pass up.The Tampa Bay Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks will continue a series late tonight in Arizona.
Last night, the Rays took care of business, giving Tampa Bay its sixth head-to-head win against the DBacks in their last seven meetings. Can they repeat tonight? We think so, as they send a red-hot pitcher to the mound. has been a favorite in all four starts this season. In most of them, he’s been a considerable favorite, like when the 30-year-old righty took the mound in early April against the Washington Nationals and lost as a -171 favorite. Despite what he’s been this season , Burnes is still being regularly priced like the 2021 Cy Young winner he once was. But that’s a market disconnect for me. I don’t think he is that type of pitcher right now, and I’m not sure he will get back there. Either way, there’s no argument that the pitcher opposing him this evening,Burnes comes in today with overall bad numbers: 1.41 WHIP, 4.99 expected ERA, and a .465 expected slugging. Not only have his actual results been tough, but the expected results haven’t provided much confidence going forward. This Rays team is well-equipped to get a few runs against him. They have been one of the better contact teams in baseball, with the sixth-lowest whiff rate in the sport. In addition, they have started to get more barrels on the ball, which is a concern for a pitcher with a barrel rate in the 8th percentile of the sport at the moment. The real separator in this matchup is Drew Rasmussen. He’s been stellar for the Rays to start the year, and I don’t see that changing anytime soon. Rasmussen has done mostly everything well to start the season, and that’s what it takes when one has a sub-zero ERA. That won’t last, but the matchup here looks favorable. The DBacks have more plate discipline than some in the league, but it’s still a group with an above-average chase rate. Against Rasmussen, average or just above it, is simply good enough with the way he’s pitching, and he’s backed that up already this season against a very similar swing profile team in the Atlanta Braves, holding them just four hits through five innings. In addition to this, it’s important to contextualize who these impressive numbers have been put up against. He’s already had strong starts against the New York Yankees and Texas Rangers this season, holding the pair to a combined two earned runs in just over ten innings. That instills the belief that he can continue here. I like the Rays to take care of business behind a strong start.The first of these is Danny Jansen. I like taking fliers on players against ground-ball-reliant pitchers who don’t hit into them very often. Jansen has a 19% ground-ball rate over his last ten games, giving me a slight edge on this number. There’s a similar theory about taking Perdomo to get a hit. I spoke glowingly above about Rasmussen, and that remains true. However, he sometimes struggles when not creating the swings and misses with frustration. Perdomo should challenge him, as he doesn’t strike out.The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games . Find more : Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach. His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud. Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.Apr 24, 2025Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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