Western Gulf continues to be watched for tropical development later this week. Heavy rain a potential threat on the northern Gulf Coast by this weekend:
Potential NHC Development
Invest 92L is currently a broad area of low pressure in the southwest Gulf of Mexico, or Bay of Campeche, that's producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Rainfall in that region could trigger flooding in parts of southern Mexico. Wind shear –– changing wind speeds and/or direction with height –– is forecast to be at least moderate strength over the Gulf of Mexico. Wind shear can disrupt tropical systems by blowing thunderstorms away from the developing surface low pressure center. In this case, showers and thunderstorms are expected to be blown northeastward away from any center that forms.This system might also have to battle dry air in the Gulf of Mexico and from the continental U.S. at times.
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