Sports Illustrated's Peter Dewey breaks down his favorite bets for the NBA action on Thursday, March 26.
Thursday’s NBA action begins with a potential first-round playoff matchup between the New York Knicks and Charlotte Hornets, but it’s a relatively underwhelming slate of games with the NCAA Tournament resuming on Thursday There with four Sweet 16 games set to top, so the NBA is taking a step back with just a three-game slate tonight:But here in Peter’s Points, we don’t pass up betting on an NBA night, no matter how small.
Wednesday’s edition of Peter’s Points saw two of five picks hit, including a the Atlanta Hawks covering as road dogs in an outright win over the Pistons. On Thursday, I’m eyeing a few plays, as the Magic and Hornets really need wins to improve their spots in the play-in tournament standings in the East.Jalen Brunson has been on a tear as a passer in the month of March, averaging 8.9 assists per game across 12 games. However, he’s fallen short of eight dimes in back-to-back games and is averaging less than seven dimes per game in the 2025-26 season. So, I think this is a sell-high spot on the road against a Charlotte team that is 12th in the NBA in opponent assists per game. Brunson also failed to clear this prop in both of his games against the Hornets earlier this season, finishing with three and five dimes. The Knicks star has the ball in his hands a ton, but he’s only averaging 11.7 potential assists per game this season. This number has moved from 6.5 to 7.5, but I’m going to zag with Hornets playing some of the best basketball in the NBA since Jan. 1.The Pelicans are playing some really solid basketball over their last 10 games, going 6-4 straight up while ranking 11th in the league in net rating. That has helped the Pels move to 15-15 against the spread as road underdogs, and they covered against the New York Knicks on Tuesday night. Now, New Orleans takes on a short-handed Detroit team that doesn’t have All-Star Cade Cunningham on the second night of a back-to-back. The Pistons lost in overtime as 2.5-point favorites on Wednesday, and I’m not buying them at this number on Thursday without their offensive engine. Detroit is just 13-18 against the spread when favored at home this season, and it’s just two spots ahead of the Pelicans in net rating over its last 15 games . There is an injury concern for New Orleans with Trey Murphy III and Dejounte Murray questionable, but if they play, the Pels could be live to pull off an upset on Thursday.Will this be the end of the Knicks’ seven-game winning streak? New York is just 5-6 against the spread as a road underdog this season and has been shaky on the road this season despite ranking fifth overall in net rating. Meanwhile, the Hornets are No. 1 in net rating over their last 15 games and have a 10-5 against the spread record as home favorites. The Knicks did win the first two meetings between these teams, but Charlotte has been a different squad since the start of the new year. I think this price is pretty reasonable on both sides, but New York hasn’t exactly killed it against the number recently, going 3-6 against the spread in its last nine games. Charlotte is easily the toughest team the Knicks have faced since they lost both ends of a back-to-back in L.A. against the Lakers and Clippers.DraftKings promo codePeter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.
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