From WSJopinion: Of course Covid vaccine demand is declining. The most vulnerable have already had the shot, writes Joel Zinberg
by the Kaiser Family Foundation, say they definitely won’t get the shot or will only do so if required.
The demand for vaccines is determined by people weighing the benefits of vaccines against the risks . Covid-19 disease severity is closely correlated with advancing age. People under 18 account for 0.1% of Covid-19 deaths. People under 50 comprise two-thirds of the U.S. population, but only 4.7% of Covid-19 deaths. Those 65 and older account for more than 80% of the deaths.
Barring a new variant that eludes current vaccines, demand for vaccines will continue to decline. As of late May, the vulnerable elderly are almost completely protected. Future demand will likely be confined to younger people with risk-enhancing medical conditions or those required to be vaccinated by schools or other institutions. This isn’t a problem since a large part of the community, particularly those most susceptible to severe disease, is now immune. The innovative U.S.
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