New York's wide receivers had a field day on Dallas' secondary in Week 2, and our NFL Week 3 plus money bets expect Rome Odunze to find similar success.
New York's wide receivers had a field day on Dallas' secondary in Week 2, and Rome Odunze will find similar success here.Photo By - Imagn Images. Chicago Bears wide receiver Rome Odunze carries the ball for a touchdown against the Detroit Lions during the first quarter at Ford Field.
come to life. We’re skipping the juice and hunting for upside —backing players in the right matchups, game scripts, and roles to smash expectations. Whether it’s a deep shot on a breakout receiver or a backup QB pressed into action, these bets come with risk — but also the kind of reward that turns a good Sunday into a great one. Let’s dive in.Few markets deliver as much entertainment ROI as quarterback rushing props. Watching a QB escape pressure, break a tackle, and rip off a run against man coverage is as electric as it gets. This week, that edge points squarely to MVP contender Herbert has 16 carries through two games and has cleared 30 rushing yards in both. What’s driving the volume? The Chargers rank No. 1 in passing offense and dead last in rushing offense by EPA/play. They also lead the league in pass rate over expected at +13.8%. More dropbacks means more scramble opportunities, and Herbert currently ranks seventh in scramble yards among QBs . His rushing lines are 4.5 attempts and 19.5 yards. THE BLITZ projects 6.28 carries for 27.2 yards — strong value on both overs, especially attempts. With the Chargers' offensive identity built around the pass and a non-existent run game, Herbert’s legs should stay busy.The 36-year-old last started for the Giants at the end of the 2023 season, throwing picks in both Weeks 17 and 18. He now steps in for the Jets, who may be forced into a pass-heavy script vs. a solid Tampa Bay roster. Through two games, New York has averaged just 22 pass attempts per game — second lowest in the league — but that could shift quickly. THE BLITZ projects a slow-paced but pass-heavy game script in Week 3, with Taylor expected to drop back around 32 times. If the Jets are trailing, that number could rise — and so does the risk of a turnover. Tampa Bay’s secondary is fully healthy and blitzing at a Top 10 rate. That pressure, combined with Taylor playing on the road with limited prep time, sets up a high-leverage interception spot, especially as a touchdown dog. Only Spencer Rattler has a better expected value to throw a pick than Taylor this week.I played it safe with picks one and two, but it's time to swing for the fences with pick No. 3. This is also the part of the article where I pick on the Cowboys and their broken defense. Russell Wilson looked like the worst QB in the league in Week 1, then lit up Dallas for 450 yards in Week 2 — the most in the NFL. The Cowboys’ secondary is a mess; they’re allowing 8.8 yards per pass attempt, rarely blitz, and when they rush just four, they're the worst defense in the league by EPA/play. Odunze has taken over as the clear WR1, commanding over 30% of the targets and 40% of the air yards. His receiving yards prop is 60.5, barely an adjustment from his Week 1 line of 56.5 — even after going for 11 targets, 128 yards, and two touchdowns last week. Yes, much of that came in negative game script, but the Bears' offense under Ben Johnson is staying aggressive regardless of the score. Against this Dallas defense, another 10-target day is absolutely in play. Last week, both Malik Nabers and Wan’Dale Robinson cleared 140 yards.: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2019, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup. Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC. Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds.Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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