Josh Inglis' NFL TD picks and best bets on NFL TD props for every NFL Week 14 game — plus our best NFL TD parlay!
Josh Inglis has you covered with an anytime touchdown pick for every Week 14 game on Sunday and Monday, headlined by AJ Brown on Monday Night Football.Week 14 is here, and NFL touchdown props are once again loaded with value — the kind sharp bettors can’t afford to miss.
I’m up over 30 units on the season, and this week’s slate brings another set of mispriced red-zone roles, emerging rookies, and soft defensive matchups worth attacking. From overlooked goal-line vultures to ascending WR2s with growing target shares, Week 14 offers plenty of chances to keep building the bankroll with yourOffering competitive prices and a deep list of players available, find the end zone each week at the #1 place to bet touchdowns!more last week than they had in recent games, giving him the majority of the red-zone work. He had the team’s only carry inside the 5 — which he converted for a TD — and added two more red-zone targets. Even though the Steelers alternated drives with Kenneth Gainwell, Warren consistently got the first crack and the valuable touches near the goal line. I saw it firsthand while chasing a Gainwell TD at +220 and watching Warren outcarry him 2:1. The quarterback situation is shaky, but against a Baltimore Ravens defense that’s lost its edge and just gave up plenty of production to Bengals running backs, Warren should handle a heavy workload and finish drives. Another one with some risk, but the upside is strong at this number. Drake London still wasn’t practicing as of Wednesday and has already missed two games with a PCL injury. With thehas become Kirk Cousins’ preferred target, scoring in two straight games at +500 and +850. The matchup against Seattle isn’t easy, but it’s an indoor home game and likely a pass-heavy script. If London is ruled out, this should be in the +300 to +350 range. Worth a half-unit flyer at this price.and Shedeur Sanders are clicking, and the rookie tight end cashed a +425 TD for me last week in brutal weather, so I’m going back in Week 14 despite the price drop. Fannin has now led the Cleveland Browns in receptions and targets in two straight games and profiles as a potential No. 1 option against a weak Tennessee Titans defense. Sanders looks comfortable, and he won’t be throwing in 30-mph winds. Fannin has fully taken over the TE1 role from David Njoku and has been more reliable than Jerry Jeudy. I’d play his TD down to +230.attack. Across his three games as a Jet, he’s racked up 457 air yards and 27 targets — production that should put his TD price below +200, yet the market still hasn’t adjusted. John Metchie saw eight targets last week, but much of that came late. Mitchell is the one getting the deeper routes and the higher-value opportunities. The Jets may not score more than 20 points, but with the Miami Dolphins accounting for Breece Hall, Mitchell should see plenty of shots on Sunday.have a clear problem: they can’t run the ball. Alvin Kamara is questionable, and Devin Neal didn’t exactly take control of the backfield, managing just 47 yards on 14 carries against Miami. The real takeaway from that game was the emergence ofVele has 11 catches on 15 targets over the last two weeks and found the end zone on one of his two red-zone looks. Now, he gets a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that is one of only eight teams allowing fewer than 100 rushing yards per game, meaning the Saints will likely lean on the pass again — even if Kamara returns. Vele is functioning as a true WR2 with WR1 upside and could easily lead this game in receiving yards if New Orleans is forced into a pass-heavy script. I’d play his number down to +270.found the end zone for the first time this season in his second game back, and the usage was no fluke — only Jakobi Meyers saw more targets. With the Indianapolis Colts on deck and no Sauce Gardner , the passing volume should stay elevated.offense. Brian Thomas hasn’t looked like last year’s version of himself, Meyers offers limited upside, and Parker Washington left Week 13 with a hip injury and didn’t return. Now, he draws a premium matchup: Indianapolis allows the second-most yards to opposing tight ends. Given the role, matchup, and red-zone involvement, a Strange anytime TD is playable down to +240.drew 14 targets — tied for the most of any player in Week 13. Even more impressive, he did it on just 49% of the snaps with Marcus Mariota under center while also scoring a +310 touchdown vs. a tough Denver defense. Now, he steps into an indoor matchup against a Minnesota Vikings team that can’t generate much offense, and he could see a QB upgrade if Jayden Daniels returns. Even if he doesn’t, getting a receiver at better than +200 who’s capable of 10+ targets is an easy play in Week 14. His snap share will only rise as he gets back to full form. With that Week 13 volume, he should be closer to +150.is a sneaky +310 TD play this week against a Buffalo Bills defense I still don’t trust against the run. Only three teams have allowed more rushing yards than Buffalo, and their 15 rushing TDs allowed to RBs are the most in the league. Perine returned last week and immediately carved into Chase Brown’s workload, even getting the only RB carry inside the 5. He finished with 14 carries—just one fewer than Brown—and logged a 40% snap share.may want to ease Brown’s workload after weeks of heavy usage, and Perine looks positioned to handle high-value touches near the goal line in a Joe Burrow offense with a 52.5-point total.can’t run the ball without J.K. Dobbins, and RJ Harvey has managed just 65 rushing yards on 24 carries over his last two games.led all pass-catchers on SNF with six receptions on nine targets for 79 yards. He’s averaging 5.8 targets per game since Week 4, putting him inside the top 10 among tight ends. Denver could push toward 30 points indoors against this Las Vegas Raiders defense, and getting one of their most heavily targeted pass-catchers at this price makes Engram a strong TD play this week.offense. Kyle Monangai was the best value last week, but his number has moved too much for Week 14, so I’m turning to another rookie: Loveland has two red-zone targets over his last three games and turned one into a touchdown. He’s contributing outside the red zone as well — he tied for the team lead with six targets against the Eagles and led all Bears pass catchers with 63 air yards. Cole Kmet found the end zone last week, but at +425, I’m happy to back the tight end running 70% of the routes and lining up all over the formation. I’m riding Ben Johnson’s offense weekly from here on out. There’s some risk here with Trey Benson eligible to return now that his practice window is open, but he was a DNP on Wednesday. With Emari Demercado dealing with an ankle injury and Michael Carter operating as the pass-catching back, Knight has scored in three straight games and has been as short as +135 in the TD market. We saw last week that the Los Angeles Rams can be beaten on the ground, as Carolina moved the ball easily in Week 13. If Benson sits and Demercado is limited, this number could drop to around +140, which is closer to where the fair price should be.played only 41% of the snaps last week against the Colts and finished with two catches for 16 yards, but he also logged four carries and has taken on a short-yardage role. Three of those four carries came in the red zone, and one of his two targets was inside the 10. Coaches love showing off their creativity near the goal line, and Stover is exactly the type of player who can end up on the receiving end of a gadget look. This is a half-unit play for me, and I’d take it down to +800.offense hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboard, but Brown was one of the most heavily targeted players last week with 12 looks, converting them into 10 catches and two touchdowns, giving him three scores over his last two games. He was +155 to score last week, and instead of adjusting his number down, the market has gone the other way. Now, he gets an indoor matchup with an offense looking to respond after a holiday letdown. His fair price should be around +150.will get a bigger leash in his second game back after taking 17 carries last week to Rachaad White's two. Affiliate Disclosure : Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2019, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup. Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC. Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds.Anytime Touchdown Scorer Cowboys vs Lions Prediction: TD Picks for Thursday Night Football NowCowboys vs Lions Props & Best Bets for Week 14 Thursday Night FootballIf you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
United States Latest News, United States Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
NFL Moneyline Picks for Every Week 14 GameIt’s been more than 10 years since the Colts won in Jacksonville, and Trevor Knapp expects Indy’s woes in Duval County to continue on Sunday.
Read more »
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Cowboys vs Lions Prediction: TD Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 14A total of 54.5 indicates plenty of scoring, and our Cowboys vs. Lions anytime touchdown picks focus on a pair of young wide receivers.
Read more »
NFL Week 14 Picks: ChatGPT Predicts the Winner of Every GameGet straight‑up moneyline picks from ChatGPT for every NFL Week 14 game, plus savvy analysis to bet the slate with confidence.
Read more »
Fantasy Takeaways From Week 14 NFL Player Props Including Lamar Jackson & Justin JeffersonDiscover how Week 14 DraftKings player props for Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, Javonte Williams, Chase Brown, Jameson Williams, and Justin Jefferson can shape your fantasy football start/sit decisions.
Read more »
College Football Anytime Touchdown Picks for Conference Championship WeekBo Jackson, Caleb Douglas & Cameron Dorner headline our college football anytime touchdown picks, predictions & best bets for Conference Championship Week.
Read more »
2025 NFL Week 14 Picks: Best Bets for Every Game — Will's WagersWill Hill checks in with his best bet for EVERY NFL Week 14 game. Dive in.
Read more »