What the analytics predict for Iowa State vs. Arizona State in the Big 12 Championship Game from an expert football model that projects scores and picks winners.
The selection committee will keep a close eye on what happens between Iowa State and Arizona State in this year’s Big 12 Championship Game, with the winner guaranteed a place in the College Football Playoff. Here’s the latest prediction for the matchup from an expert analytical football model that projects scores and picks winners.
Iowa State has won 10 games in a single season for the first time in program history and will make its second appearance for the Big 12 championship hoping to pull off an upset for the ages.For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Iowa State and Arizona State compare in the Big 12 Championship Game on Saturday.
How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 384-352-9 against the spread with a 52.1 win percentage after going 35-35-1 last weekend.Arizona State is a 1.5 point favorite against Iowa State, according to the updated lines posted to FanDuel Sportsbook for the Big 12 championship.And it lists the moneyline odds for Arizona State at -115 and for Iowa State at -104 to win outright.
But the other 33 percent of wagers project Iowa State will either win outright in the upset, or keep the game to 2 or fewer points in a loss.That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
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