The December deluge of critics’ honors will push best picture contenders to the front of the Oscar race — but how often do those favorites maintain their momentum to the finish line in March?
— were all deemed early favorites by this methodology but didn’t even get a best picture nomination, an unfortunate phenomenon that’s less likely to occur now that the Academy has doubled the size of its top category.
There does appear to be some correlation between how well a film does among these critical honors and its ultimate fate at the Oscars, even if it is scattershot. The chart at left, which looks at the past two decades, shows that while many best picture winners pick up critics’ honors along the campaign, there remain a handful of films that manage to forge their own path to the Academy’s top prize.
These days, we have even more data to indicate an early favorite, as the number of December awards has grown substantially since 1990, with critics groups forming in Phoenix, Las Vegas and Dallas, among other cities. But at least from this data set, the mid-December favorite has slightly more than a 1-in-3 chance to ultimately hoist the final statue, which gives the Oscar race plenty of time to offer twists and turns during January, February and March.
United States Latest News, United States Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Are We Doomed to See a Biden-Trump Rematch in 2024?The American public appears to dread a rematch between its two oldest Presidents, and both of them are viewed unfavorably by a majority of the public.
Read more »
Missoma's Black Friday Sale Includes The Most Covetable Celeb FavoritesPrepare to step up your jewelry game with Missoma's Black Friday sale.
Read more »
Pac-12 point spreads: Washington, Oregon are narrow road favorites and relevant Territorial Cup historyUSC is a solid favorite in must-win home affair with Notre Dame.
Read more »
La Jolla freshman Dailey one of favorites at state cross country championshipsShe won the section D-IV title by nearly a minute and has competed on the Woodward Park course this season and learned a lesson
Read more »
Heisman Watch: With Hooker done for the season, Ohio State's Stroud and USC's Williams top odds boardWith one week left in the regular season, FrontPageBets takes another look at the trophy favorites.
Read more »
Saudi Arabia shocks Argentina in one of the biggest World Cup upsets everArgentina was one win away from tying Italy for the longest winning streak in men's international history.
Read more »