Here’s Why Bonds Keep Holding onto Gains Despite Inflation Risks

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Here’s Why Bonds Keep Holding onto Gains Despite Inflation Risks
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Bonds Analysis by James Picerno covering: iShares TIPS Bond ETF, SPDR® Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF, Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares. Read James Picerno's latest article on Investing.com

concerns continue to lurk, but the US bond market is holding on to its rally so far this year, based on a set of ETFs through Wednesday’s close .) is up 1.0% in 2025, which is close to its high-water mark for the year to date. Several slices of the bond market are posting even stronger results.) continue to lead the field, rallying 1.9% year to date. The advance extends the fund’s rally in each of the past two calendar years. In 2024, JNK rose 7.7% on a total-return basis.

The minutes also suggest that the odds are low for additional rate cuts in the near-term future as long as the labor market remains robust: “Participants indicated that, provided the economy remained near maximum employment, they would want to see further progress on inflation before making additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate.”

For the moment, monetary policy appears to be in a holding pattern until further clarity about tariffs emerges. The bond market is also watching and waiting.Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors.

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