January Rally Shows Markets Underpriced Trade War Risk

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January Rally Shows Markets Underpriced Trade War Risk
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Stocks Analysis by James Picerno covering: Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares, Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets Index Fund ETF Shares, Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares. Read James Picerno's latest article on Investing.

. Across-the-board gains last month suggest the year is on a positive trajectory for markets. But the good news became irrelevant in a heartbeat after President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China – news that threatens to lift inflation, slow growth, upend the global trading system and roil markets.

Meanwhile, let’s review what may be a final snapshot of the old-world order through the prism of the major asset classes, based on a set of ETFs.), which rose 4.4%. All the main slices of global markets rose last month – the first month of across-the-board winners in nearly three years. The rear-view mirror should always be viewed cautiously, especially for short-term windows. The caveat resonates far and wide as the world grapples with what a US-led tariff war means for markets, economies and beyond.

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