Some believe that an intelligence explosion will leap us from conventional AI to attaining artificial general intelligence (AGI). Here's how this pathway might happen.
In today’s column, I continue my special series covering the anticipated pathways that will get us from conventional AI to the revered hoped-for AGI . The focus here is an analytically speculative deep dive into the detailed aspects of a so-called intelligence explosion during the journey to AGI.
Should you be swayed by the AI luminaries or more so by the AI experts and their scientific consensus? We are living in 2025 and somehow are supposed to arrive at AGI by the year 2040. That’s essentially 15 years of elapsed time. The idea is to map out the next fifteen years and speculate what will happen with AI during that journey.
One of the most famous postulated breakthroughs would be the advent of an intelligence explosion. The idea is that once an intelligence explosion occurs, assuming that such a phenomenon ever happens, AI will in rapid-fire progression proceed to accelerate into becoming AGI. Agentic AI starts to blossom and become practical and widespread. AI systems with memory and planning capabilities achieve competence in open-ended tasks in simulation environments.
Artificial General Intelligence AGI Artificial Superintelligence ASI 2040 Date Agentic AI World Model Future Forecast Futurecast
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