As coronavirus cases have continued to rise in the U.S. throughout the summer, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is forecasting that the total American death toll from COVID-19 could hit 182,000 by the fourth week of August, according to an internal government document obtained by Yahoo
More than 150,000 Americans have died due to coronavirus as of Thursday, according to the latest CDC numbers, which were included in a July 30 senior leadership brief.
The CDC has produced weekly projections on deaths attributable to COVID-19 based on a “national ensemble” of more than two dozen different models. Last week’s forecast predicted between 160,000 and 175,000 deaths by Aug. 15. This week’s put that number at between 168,000 and 182,00 by Aug. 22, according to the document obtained by Yahoo News.
While the U.S. has, in fact, done better than other countries when it comes to case fatality rates for coronavirus — a measure of the number of people who have died compared to the total diagnosed with COVID-19 — it has performed much worse when it comes to overall mortality rate, which is based on per capita deaths.
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