Although isolated storms will remain possible, the overall trend appears to be moving toward a more typical early summer pattern
) - After one of the wettest Mays on record across portions of the Gulf Coast, there is finally some encouraging news in the forecast.
While a few rounds of showers and storms are still expected through early next week, a drier pattern may begin developing by the middle of the week as a cold front moves through the area. The potential for several days with lower rain chances could allow standing water to recede, saturated soils to begin drying out, and local rivers, creeks, and drainage systems to recover from weeks of excessive rainfall.
Although isolated storms will remain possible, the overall trend appears to be moving toward a more typical early summer pattern with fewer widespread rainfall events and more opportunities for sunshine. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to diminish through the evening hours, with most locations becoming dry overnight. A few isolated showers may linger across inland communities early this evening before activity gradually fades. Skies will remain partly to mostly cloudy overnight with warm and muggy conditions continuing.
Temperatures will only fall into the low to middle 70s. Areas that received heavy rainfall earlier today may also see patchy fog or mist develop late tonight into early Sunday morning. Sunday will feature a mix of sun and clouds along with another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon and evening. Deep tropical moisture remains in place across the Gulf Coast, allowing storms to produce heavy downpours, frequent lightning, and gusty winds.
While not everyone will see rain, storms that develop could quickly drop a significant amount of rainfall in a short period of time. Localized flash flooding remains possible, especially in areas that have received repeated rounds of rain over the past week. High temperatures will climb into the upper 80s and lower 90s, while heat index values may reach between 98 and 103 degrees during the hottest part of the day.
As we move into next week, rain chances are expected to gradually decrease. Scattered storms remain possible Monday and Tuesday, but coverage should be lower compared to the weekend. A cold front is expected to move through the region on Tuesday, helping to push some drier air into the Gulf Coast by the middle of the week. By Wednesday and Thursday, many communities could experience one of the driest stretches of weather we’ve seen in quite some time.
While a few isolated afternoon storms cannot be ruled out, especially closer to the coast, much of the area may see more sunshine, lower humidity, and fewer rain chances. Temperatures are also expected to cool slightly behind the front, with highs dropping back into the low to middle 80s before gradually warming again toward next weekend. Beach conditions continue to improve as onshore winds gradually weaken.
A Moderate Risk of rip currents remains in place through the remainder of the weekend, meaning dangerous currents are still possible for swimmers. By Monday, the rip current risk is expected to lower to a Low Risk, providing more favorable beach conditions. Even with improving conditions, beachgoers should continue to pay attention to warning flags and always use caution in the water. Santa Rosa County officials investigate deceased person at former restaurant location
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