Human-caused climate change doubled the likelihood of the heavy rainfall that caused floods killing 24 people in Central Europe earlier this month, a new flash study found. A collection of scientists that run rapid climate attribution studies said on Tuesday that the severe four-day rainfall was by far the heaviest ever recorded in Central Europe.
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“In any climate, you would expect to occasionally see records broken,” said Friederike Otto, an Imperial College, London, climate scientist who coordinates the attribution study team. But, “to see records being broken by such large margins, that is really the fingerprint of climate change. And that is only something that we see in a warming world.”Some of the most severe impacts were felt in the Polish-Czech border region and Austria, mainly in urban areas along major rivers.
The heavy rainfall across Central Europe was caused by what’s known as a “Vb depression” that forms when cold polar air flows from the north over the Alps and meets warm air from Southern Europe. The study’s authors found no observable change in the number of similar Vb depressions since the 1950s.
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