Shota Imanaga has been worse away from home and will be in tough against Shohei Ohtani and the L.A. lineup in tonight's Cubs vs. Dodgers predictions.
Shota Imanaga has had a fantastic season but has seen his pitch count rise in recent games to the point where he might be hitting a wall. Not great when he has to face Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers. Imanaga's away numbers are also worse than at home.
Imanaga has also been the beneficiary of good fortune all season. His 3.70 xFIP is well above his 2.99 ERA, and there’s potential for his .263 BABIP to climb and 77.3% strand rate to drop, especially considering his respective 3.55, 2.16, .131, and 96.8% marks across his past four starts. Additionally, if Imanaga does exit early, Ohtani could see looks against right-handed relievers. The Dodger superstar boasts a league-high .390 ISO and third-ranked .449 wOBA vs. RHP for the season.The Dodgers rank seventh in baseball with a 8.9 BB%, and Imanaga sports a 5.6% mark on the road while his BB/9 climbs from 0.98 at Wrigley Field to 2.05 on the highway. Imanaga has also walked two or more in two of his past three starts, and I also value Los Angeles sporting the fifth-lowest 19.
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