Matthew Boyd still has some catching up to do as he makes his return to the big leagues for the Guardians, and our MLB betting picks will gladly fade him vs. a surging Cubs offense.
The Cleveland Guardians will look for a second consecutive win over the Chicago Cubs at Progressive Field on Tuesday, and the home team will turn to lefty Matthew Boyd for his 2024 season debut following Tommy John surgery last year.
Boyd cruised through six innings on just 63 pitches in his final Triple-A start, so he’s far from fully stretched out, and I’m not expecting him to top 80 pitches on Tuesday. As a result, his window to rack up strikeouts will be partially closed before he even toes the rubber, and Chicago hasn’t been strikeout-happy against southpaws all season.
Additionally, while Boyd has historically racked up plenty of strikeouts throughout his career with an 8.78 K/9 and 22.7 K% as a starter, he’s never parlayed it into success on the mound. He sports a career 5.02 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 4.61 xFIP while allowing a healthy .333 wOBA across his 160 career starts, after all. I’m anticipating his pitch count climbing quickly because of an inability to cruise through the Chicago lineup efficiently tonight.
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