Can 95 years of data tell us who will win this year’s Oscar for best picture?

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Can 95 years of data tell us who will win this year’s Oscar for best picture?
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Expect long odds for a remake or sequel to triumph as analysis of previous winners suggests the smart money should be on a drama that’s already won a ton of awards

are rarely nominated. Recent awards have seen an increase, with four nominees last year based on previously filmed source material: Dune, West Side Story, Coda and Nightmare Alley., while All Quiet on the Western Front could become only the fourth everTop Gun: Maverick could become the third sequel to win best picture following The Return of the King and The Godfather Part II.

. This year, All Quiet on the Western Front could mark the streaming platform’s first best picture win.nominees each year have won 29% of gongs in the award ceremony's 94-year history compared to just 11% for those with the smallest.

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