A chaotic Triple Crown season continues apace, with the scratch from the Kentucky Derby of Omaha Beach. Professional handicappers share their ideas for managing the chaos at the betting windows.
This season’s path to the Kentucky Derby has been far less formful than previous years, which not only speaks to the quality of the crop at this stage, but is also a sign that there is not a stand-out among this group as there was in the years of American Pharoah and Justify. The positive side of that scenario for us horseplayers is that the probability of chaos occurring in a large field is higher than those years, which in turn means price plays are on the table.
At the start of the year, he wasone horse that I wanted nothing to do with for that very reason, but his performance in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby swayed me straight into his camp. He got very restless before the start and in the gate and he broke slowly, yet he still finished a strong second. Also important is that he handled a sloppy surface, which is the same type of surface we’re likely to get on Derby day with rain in the forecast.
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