With totals of 38 or lower, unders are going 7-1 since 2019, but is that really the play for TNF?
Bears vs. Commanders prediction and analysis
This likely goes without saying, but this is one of the least appetizing offensive matchups of the season. And that’s great news for under bettors. Entering Week 6, the Commanders and Bears both rank in the bottom seven in points per game. That shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone who’s actually watched these two offenses at work – especially Chicago, which ranks a disheartening 31st in yards per game only ahead of a Panthers team that just fired head coach Matt Rhule on Monday.The Bears’ passing game is particularly anemic, ranking dead last in yards per game and total pass completions .
Washington’s pass defense has been atrocious this year, ranking 29th in pass defense DVOA, but that’s obviously not as big of a concern against this throwback Bears attack that relies heavily on the ground game. That’s bad news against these Commanders, who rank sixth in rush defense DVOA and 10th in yards allowed per carry .
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