The article discusses the possibility of long-shot golfers winning the 2026 edition of the PGA Championship, highlighting the recent performances of Jordan Spieth, Alex Smalley, and other long-odds contenders.
for the second straight year. Now it’s time to move on to the PGA Championship, which will take place at Aronimink for the first time since 1962.
It's not unheard of for golfers with long odds to win a major. J.J. Spaun won the U.S. Open last year, Wyndham Clark and Brian Harman won majors in 2023, and Phil Mickelson became the oldest major-winner when he won the PGA Championship in 2021. Could a long-shot golfer win the 2026 edition of the event?
Let's take a look at a few names I'm targeting further down the odds list. He's still seeking his first career major at 37 years old. He has finished in the top 10 at a major on 13 different occasions, including three separate runner-up finishes. His latest top five came at the 2023 U.S. Open.
With that being said, I think now is the time he finally gets the job done. He's coming into this week, posting three-straight top 10 finishes at signature events. He's also fifth in the field in total strokes gained over the past 30 days. , with a strokes-gained adjustment of +0.10 compared to the rest of the field.
His short game numbers and approach play makes him an interesting dark horse contender this week. He's coming into this event off a T8 performance at the Truist Championship, where he gained +1.24 strokes per round with his irons, his best approach performance since last April's Valero Texas Open. If he can carry that into this week, he could be in contention on the weekend.
Alex Smalley's recent numbers are similar to Fowler's, but are slightly worse for significantly longer odds. He has also played well recently, posting five-straight finishes of T21 or better, including a T7 finish at the Cadillac Championship. He's 21st in the field this week in strokes-gained tee to green, and while those numbers don't jump off the page, they point to him having some longshot value at 150-1.
His numbers over the past three months are better than some big names in the field, including the likes of Bryson DeChambeau and Russell Henley. IAIN MACMILLAN Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network.
He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
PGA Championship Long-Shot Golfers Jordan Spieth Alex Smalley Recent Performances Contenders
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