2026 Stanley Cup playoffs: Preview, X factors, predictions

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2026 Stanley Cup playoffs: Preview, X factors, predictions
Edmonton-OilersColorado-AvalancheBuffalo-Sabres

The postseason Thunderdome is about to open its gate. Which team will emerge as the 2026 Stanley Cup champion?

We've got all the angles covered to get you ready for the playoffs as ESPN hockey reporters Ryan S. Clark and Kristen Shilton take a look at each of the 16 postseason teams, offering the reasons each team could win it all, along with the biggest X factor, players to watch and a bold prediction for every team. Note: Profiles for the Atlantic and Metropolitan playoff brackets were written by Shilton, while Clark analyzed the Central and Pacific clubs. Also note that wild-card teams are listed according to the playoff bracket in which they're playing has been spearheaded via another otherworldly performance from Kucherov, who had 44 goals and 130 points in 76 games. The Lightning's ability to overwhelm opponents with their speed and skill makes them a championship favorite for a reason. Beyond that, Tampa Bay is experienced, resilient and unflappable. Its team defense is excellent -- giving up the third-fewest goals in the league -- and its penalty kill is third best. The Lightning's goaltending has been spectacular as usual; in save percentage and goals-against average among goalies who made 40-plus starts. And with Jon Cooper pushing all the right buttons behind the bench, it's easy to see how the Lightning can crush the competition for a third Cup title in six years.

The Lightning do so much so well, but their power play is a notable red flag. Tampa Bay ranks 14th overall with the extra man, but since returning from the Olympic break, the Lightning are 24th . It's an oddity considering all their firepower that they can't capitalize more often on their opportunities. That's a critical part of any successful playoff stint -- to which the Lightning can certainly attest. There's still time for the Lightning to tinker so that they have two solid units that can both contribute -- something their second group hasn't been doing consistently. Kucherov might be the center of attention, but the Lightning must elevate their urgency.

If there's one thing Perry knows how to do, it's be part of a team that reaches the Cup Final. He has done it in five of the past six seasons -- and lost each time. Perry was a true difference-maker for Edmonton last year, collecting 10 goals and 14 points in 22 games. Not too shabby for a guy who was playing 15 minutes per game as a 39-year-old. What can Perry do this time around? He's been solid since arriving at the trade deadline -- with five goals and eight points in 19 games. When the Lightning were back-to-back champions, it was in large part because of their depth. Perry will be a key part of that this time around.

Kucherov is goalless in the first round and an unsung hero bails the Lightning out to escape another early exit. Tampa Bay finds its groove and powers its way back to another Cup Final on the back of Vasilevskiy's stellar play.

eclipsing the 100-point mark. He was the first Canadiens player to do that in 40 years, just one indication of Montreal's potent attack up front. Not to be outdone, were strong contributors on the scoresheet. The Canadiens were top 10 in league scoring and on the power play, and they improved collectively on defense as the season went on. has had stretches of good success in the crease and continues to look more confident as a starter. Head coach Martin St. Louis has guided this team to a second consecutive playoff appearance, and this time around Montreal has the experience to anticipate what's ahead.

How will the Canadiens adjust without Dobson? Montreal's second-best defenseman suffered an upper-body injury April 11, and the team said he'd be reevaluated in two weeks. That all but guarantees Dobson will miss at least a couple of games in the first round, and there's no telling if the ailment will hold him out longer. -- the fifth overall pick in 2023 -- from the American Hockey League to make his NHL debut. While Reinbacher did notch a point in his initial outing, he'll hardly be a replacement for Dobson. had been previously promoted, but he has played fewer than 20 NHL games and is a left-handed shot .

Jakub Dobes. It's a given that goaltending is critical to playoff success. But Dobes' netminding will be under increased scrutiny now that Dobson is out. Montreal has reason to believe he's up to the challenge. Dobes has been sensational since the Olympic break, with the third-best save percentage among starting goaltenders in that span. Having Dobes on a hot streak heading into the postseason should put to rest concerns about his playoff performance last year, where he went 1-2-0 with an .881 SV% and 2.91 GAA. The Canadiens were a middle-of-the-pack team defensively all season, allowing just over three goals per game -- and that was with a relatively healthy D corps. It will take an elevated effort from everyone to see Montreal past the opening round, and Dobes starting strong could build momentum for the Canadiens surging forward from there.

Hutson holds the line in front of a stellar showing from Dobes, and the Canadiens escape to the second round. Boston had to show fortitude early this season just to secure its postseason berth. The Bruins were a below-average club before bursting through January with one of the league's best records. Boston has been blessed with excellent goaltending from-- with a career-high 30 wins -- who points to his own recent past of ups and downs as another example of how this Bruins team has persevered to its current placement. to deliver -- and he will again be a focal point of the offense on the heels of a superb regular season -- it's the Bruins' second line that has helped them thrive. Led by the emergence of anchors the back end, and his ability to contribute offensively will be key for Boston at 5-on-5 and on special teams. Marco Sturm is a rookie NHL head coach heading into his first playoff appearance. It can be just as challenging for freshman coaches to get their feet wet in the postseason as for players, and Sturm has some tough personnel decisions to make. That starts with how Sturm intends to maximize the Bruins' scoring depth. They have high-end talent through those top two lines, but that's rarely enough to sustain a long playoff run. Since late February, the majority of the Bruins' scoring has come from four players pivotal to why the Hurricanes are favored to win the East. There is depth to spare in Carolina's lineup that will give coach Rod Brind'Amour flexibility to make adjustments on the fly. The Hurricanes are an exceptional puck possession team that's going to put consistent pressure on opponents, and the experienced defense is brimming with shutdown talents too. staying healthy and performing at a high level. Boasting a power play and a penalty kill sitting top 10 in the league rounds out all the ways Carolina can dominate in every phase. This is Carolina's moment to finally fight its way back to the Cup Final. The Canes have every piece in place to do that -- but we've seen this story play out unfavorably for them in seasons past. While Carolina has said all the right things about leaving the past in the past -- and the Hurricanes haven't appeared too rattled by their heartbreaking defeats -- how will this team handle what could be its best opportunity yet to put it all together? Bussi had a terrific regular season, but he's still a rookie with no NHL playoff experience. The Hurricanes' defensive corps is a veteran group but could be worn down if the early-round series were to go the distance. And if Carolina does make it back to the conference finals, will those demons materialize again and make the formerly unstoppable Hurricanes appear pedestrian?

Nikolaj Ehlers. When the Hurricanes have faltered in the past, it was often due to dried-up depth scoring. GM Eric Tulsky went after Ehlers in the offseason to guard against that happening again. Regardless of Ehler's impressive numbers to date -- 25 goals and 70 points in 81 games -- it's all for naught if he can't produce in the postseason. That's been an issue for Ehlers in the past with Winnipeg, with last season's playoffs the only one in his career when the winger has managed more than two goals. He has appeared to fit seamlessly in with the Hurricanes though, likely in part because he doesn't have to carry the same offensive load he did with the Jets. Ehlers can be a true complementary piece, unburdened by extra pressures, and make Carolina dangerous when it counts.

Carolina's success hinges on not repeating old mistakes. Nikolaj Ehlers. The Sabres were patient with Quinn as he developed slowly after being selected eighth overall in the 2020 draft. This season, Quinn found his way, approaching the 20-goal mark and notching career-best numbers in every offensive category. It's a common occurrence in the postseason that each team's best players cancel each other out. That's where secondary skaters like Quinn are meant to thrive. He's not known as a physical presence, and how Quinn reacts to the tighter-checking playoff shifts will be a quick indicator as to whether he's up to the task of being a difference-maker.

Pittsburgh is the ultimate sleeper team in these playoffs. GM Kyle Dubas started working his magic in June when he hired first-time NHL head coach Dan Muse -- an initially head-scratching choice that's been pitch perfect for the Penguins. Then, when injuries required it, Dubas got creative retooling Pittsburgh's roster -- his December acquisition of has admirably fought through injury to help Pittsburgh stay in the hunt. Plus, the Penguins have had excellent special teams -- particularly in the second half of the season -- when they showcased this club at its best overall. If there's a question mark in Pittsburgh, it's between the pipes. Will the Penguins get the best out of when neither goaltender was especially good in the regular season? Both Silovs and Skinner recorded sub-.900 save percentages, and while Silovs saw more action than Skinner, that doesn't mean that one player or the other won't be quickly replaced. Pittsburgh ranked 11th in goals against per game during the regular season -- the most by any Eastern Conference playoff team -- but tied for 13th fewest shots per game, suggesting it was the lack of timely saves causing problems. Silovs hasn't seen NHL playoff action since 2024 in Vancouver. Skinner appeared in back-to-back Cup Finals with Edmonton and lost both times. How Pittsburgh handles its goaltending situation -- from who plays to how he performs to how long a leash he'll have -- will be a deciding factor in how long these Penguins stay in the mix. Sidney Crosby. It's not as though Crosby could fly under the radar if he tried. But this is when the Penguins need their superstar captain to shine brightest. Since returning from a lower-body injury sustained at the 2026 Olympics, Crosby has just two goals in 12 games. There's no question he knows how to ramp it up in the postseason, as long as his body cooperates.

Philadelphia was nine points out of the East's second wild-card spot on March 10, but it went 13-4-1 from there with a league-leading .750 points percentage to reach its first postseason since 2020. The Flyers have momentum, and they feel like they're playing with house money this spring. in the best season of his NHL career. The Flyers found their stride when it would have been easier to fold. Confidence should be sky-high. The Flyers gave up the first goal in more games than almost any other team. That's difficult enough to overcome in the regular season, let alone in the increased intensity of the postseason. In the 18-game stretch that saw Philadelphia charge into the playoffs, it surrendered the first goal only seven times -- a relative improvement that has to continue into this next chapter. Given the Flyers' general lack of postseason experience as it is, playing catchup against a veteran squad will leave them uncomfortably exposed. And when Philadelphia does open the scoring, its record is excellent . The Flyers made several wise moves to put themselves back in a playoff spot. Trading for Zegras this past offseason was one of them. He has cemented himself in Philadelphia's top six, with 26 goals and 67 points in 81 games. Zegras hasn't been in the playoffs before -- the Ducks were rebuilding throughout his tenure there -- but that could be the best thing for him and the Flyers. Zegras showed in the way he transitioned to Philadelphia that, when opportunity knocks, he's ready to answer. Zegras will be a focal point of course; the opposition is bound to make him initially uncomfortable. If he can showcase the sort of elite playmaking and scoring he brings when at his best, then Zegras could be what takes the Flyers from fun first-round ousters to legitimate contenders. Vladar's lack of past playoff reps is exposed early, and the Flyers can't counteract with enough goal support. Coach Rick Tocchett does his best to shuffle the deck and keep Philadelphia alive, but it gets swept in the opening round.

Ottawa used a triumphant second half of the season to become a true playoff threat. The Senators were one of the strongest teams in the offensive zone -- tied for 11th in scoring -- while their goalie tandem of has made them one of the best teams in the league in goal suppression, finishing fourth at 2.87 goals against per game. It's an approach that has enabled the Wild to challenge two of the best teams in the NHL -- the Avs and the Stars -- in the Central Division. It creates the belief for the Wild that beating one, if not both, will allow them to mount a serious challenge for the franchise's first Stanley Cup title. Their offensive depth. Go back to what they were a year ago. The Wild were a team that relied heavily on a select group to create and/or score goals. It's part of the reason why they were among the lowest teams in terms of goals scored that qualified for the playoffs. have received supplemental help this season, as the Wild have nine players that scored 20 or more goals, along with 10 players altogether who have reached double figures. Couple that with the fact that the Mammoth are among the top 10 teams in the NHL in fewest shots allowed and scoring chances allowed, and it could make the Mammoth a threat in their first playoff appearance as a franchise. The decision to bring in veterans with Stanley Cup experience. Every team with a young core has made it a point to add veterans for moments such as this. Clayton Keller. So much of his progress -- and that of the franchise he captains -- has been intertwined. His personal growth, which has allowed him to finish with more than 80 points in three of the past four seasons, has come as the Mammoth have sought to evolve into a playoff team. How will it work out for Keller and the Mammoth now that they're both at their desired destination of the playoffs?

The Kings have always been aware of what's at stake in past postseasons -- they won the Stanley Cup in 2012 and 2014. But what makes this postseason different is that quite a bit could change once it's all over. is retiring. That means the Kings will need a new captain and top-line center that can replicate -- or come close to replicating -- what Kopitar did. And if that's not enough, the Western Conference is starting to see teams that were once in the cellar begin to aim higher -- like their in-state rivals in Anaheim and San Jose -- while others who were playoff teams in 2025 but missed this year's edition will have an eye on next year's playoffs. Did they learn from last year? It's not that the Stars didn't make adjustments under DeBoer once they reached the conference finals. It's just that those adjustments didn't always work out as planned. That was the case last season when the Stars lost four straight, and scoredonly three times before losing to the Oilers in five games in the conference finals last season. During Gulutzan's time in Edmonton, the coaching staff found ways to make the necessary adjustments whenever it faced some sort of postseason challenge against a Western Conference team. Is it possible that he can take what he learned with the Oilers and parlay it into success with the Stars?. Perhaps the most defining aspect of the Stars' playoff run last season was seeing Oettinger benched in Game 5 against the Oilers. It led to DeBoer having to publicly explain his decision after the series was over, and the flood of questions that came with how coach and franchise goaltender could coexist going forward. Instead, the Stars fired DeBoer, hired Gulutzan and have seen Oettinger win more than 30 games for a fifth straight season -- with the idea he will hopefully win 16 more in these playoffs. picks up where he left off last postseason and grabs at least one point in every game through the first two rounds.

All of the things that got in their way since their last Stanley Cup in 2022 no longer appear to be concerns. And, the Avalanche possess depth, in that they can count on all four lines, three defensive pairings and either one of their goaltenders. The Avs finished first in the NHL in scoring and also allowed the fewest goals per game . At various points this season, they've not had their full complemented roster -- and still won. The way they've won while fending off the challenge from the Stars and Wild to win the Central Division title adds to the thought this could be. had been a problem in previous years. Now, it appears that their options down the middle could be their biggest strength. has admirably fought through injury to help Pittsburgh stay in the hunt. Plus, the Penguins have had excellent special teams -- particularly in the second half of the season -- when they showcased this club at its best overall. If there's a question mark in Pittsburgh, it's between the pipes. Will the Penguins get the best out of when neither goaltender was especially good in the regular season? Both Silovs and Skinner recorded sub-.900 save percentages, and while Silovs saw more action than Skinner, that doesn't mean that one player or the other won't be quickly replaced. Pittsburgh ranked 11th in goals against per game during the regular season -- the most by any Eastern Conference playoff team -- but tied for 13th fewest shots per game, suggesting it was the lack of timely saves causing problems. picks up where he left off last postseason and grabs at least one point in every game through the first two rounds.

The Mammoth have used their depth to help win games all season. Utah has six players that scored 20 or more goals, along with 10 players altogether who have reached double figures. Couple that with the fact that the Mammoth are among the top 10 teams in the NHL in fewest shots allowed and scoring chances allowed, and it could make the Mammoth a threat in their first playoff appearance as a franchise. The decision to bring in veterans with Stanley Cup experience. Every team with a young core has made it a point to add veterans for moments such as this.

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