Seahawks vs. Panthers? Hurts vs. Allen? Picks, predictions, stats and what's at stake for every remaining Week 17 game.
On Saturday, the Texans and Chargers will face off in a rematch of last year's wild-card game. On Sunday, the Seahawks will battle the Panthers, and the Buccaneers will head down to Miami for an intrastate matchup.
Then two teams in the mix for the NFC's No. 1 seed -- the Bears and 49ers -- will face each other on "Sunday Night Football." We have you covered with everything you need to know. Our NFL Nation reporters take you inside the locker room with the best thing they heard this week, and ESPN Research provides a key stat to know and anugget for each contest. Plus, analytics writer Seth Walder makes a bold prediction for each matchup, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody sharesLet's get into the full Week 17 slate, which culminates with the "Monday Night Football" matchup between the Rams and Falcons on. The 2025 Texans' defense is even better than last year's version, so we'll see how this plays out. Coach DeMeco Ryans called Herbert "one of the toughest quarterbacks in our league." We'll see how tough he can be when the NFL's No. 1 defense rolls into L.A.Herbert is coming off perhaps his best game of the season in a win over the Cowboys, which he'll look to replicate against Houston. "As far as quarterback performances go, that was a Picasso," Harbaugh said of Herbert's three-TD, 300-yard passing game against Dallas.The Texans and Chargers rank first and third in the league, respectively, in total defense this season .have pass rush win rates over 35%. That's a big number, as no one hit 35% in Week 16, let alone a pair of teammates. But Houston's pass rushers against the Chargers' tackles is a heck of a mismatch.The Texans can clinch a playoff berth with a win or a Colts loss. There's also a bizarre scenario where they get in if the Chiefs, Ravens, Bucs, Bills, Rams and 49ers win in Week 17. The Chargers clinched a playoff spot after the Colts' loss to the 49ers on Monday night.and the Raiders had against Houston last week. Since returning from injury in Week 14, Hampton has had at least 15 touches and scored at least 14 fantasy points in two of three games.The Chargers are 16-8 against the spread as favorites under Harbaugh .needs 64 rushing yards to pass Tony Dorsett and crack the top 10 on the NFL's all-time rushing list. The Ravens, who need a win to avoid being eliminated from playoff contention, are 17-8 when Henry rushes for 65 or more yards. The Packers are the league's 10th-best run defense, allowing 103.8 yards per game. In two games at Lambeau Field, Henry has totaled 185 rushing yards.) both suffering injuries last week against the Bears, it's worth wondering who the emergency quarterback would have been -- or might be if necessary Saturday. The team's only other quarterback is on the practice squad and would not have been eligible to play at Chicago. Perhaps the Packers will activate Tune, but coach Matt LaFleur revealed this week that their top two emergency options are RBHenry logged his 40th career game with at least 100 rushing yards and a rushing TD against the Patriots, the sixth most in NFL history. With another such game, Henry would tie Jim Brown for No. 5.) or a backup at QB, the team might need to rely on the ground game more than usual. While Henry is always a threat to rumble for extra yards, Mitchell has the ability to be the lightning to the veteran's thunder and can break a big one at any moment.The Packers can clinch a playoff berth with a win or a Lions loss Thursday. The Ravens would be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss or a Steelers win. Henry has piled up at least 90 rushing yards in three consecutive games. It would be wise for the Baltimore to lean on the run game as the Packers' defensive front has ranked 30th in run stop win rate since Week 12.is likely the key to winning in Indianapolis, where the Jaguars have won just twice in their past 11 trips. Taylor has run for 546 yards and four touchdowns in three home games against Jacksonville. The Colts are undefeated in those games. The Jaguars' top-ranked run defense limited Taylor earlier this month to 74 yards in aThese teams met just three weeks ago with first place in the AFC South on the line. Now, they square off in a game that can end the Colts' ever-so-faint playoff hopes and propel the Jaguars toward a division title. The trajectory of these division rivals has shifted significantly over the course of this season, with the Jaguars on a six-game win streak and the Colts dropping their past five. For injury-plagued Indianapolis, the question is whether it can avoid a seven-game losing streak to end the season, which would presumably put organizational changes on the table -- injuries or not.The Colts could be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss or a Texans win, or in a wild scenario where the Chiefs, Ravens, Bucs, 49ers and Rams win. The Jaguars can clinch the AFC South with a win and a Texans loss. Lawrence finished with a season-high 31.6 fantasy points against a Broncos defense that has been stingy to opposing signal-callers. Lawrence and WRsare now in a favorable spot against a Colts defense that ranks in the top eight in fantasy points per game allowed to WRs.Rivers has been a home underdog of at least six points only once in his career .Seattle is fortunate the NFL didn't move this game to Saturday, because it needs all the rest it can get after thelast Thursday night. Seattle's defense was on the field for 88 official plays against the Rams, meaning coach Mike Macdonald's unit essentially played an extra half of a game on a short week. The Seahawks' win gave them the inside track at the NFC West title and the conference's top seed. But if Seattle doesn't win Sunday, it might have to head back to Charlotte in the wild-card round.over Tampa Bay to stay viable in the NFC South race. That's what will fuel them against Seattle. But don't expect the Panthers to be watching the scoreboard for the Bucs' matchup against the Dolphins: "We can't afford to do that,'' Canales said.In their win against the Rams, the Seahawks had the largest fourth-quarter comeback by any team versus an opponent eight games over .500 since the 1970 merger.will record an interception. Witherspoon has great coverage metrics this season, with a 12% target rate and 0.8 yards per coverage snap allowed, both much better than average for corners.The Panthers can clinch a playoff berth with a win and a Bucs loss. The Seahawks clinched a playoff spot in Week 16 and can clinch the NFC West with a win and losses from the 49ers and Rams., Dowdle has handled the early-down work while Hubbard has played most of the third downs. Carolina now faces a tough Seattle in a game where the Panthers could be playing from behind. That would shift the offense toward the passing game, favoring Hubbard's role. Combined with the Seahawks allowing the fifth-most receiving yards to RBs, Hubbard might be the better play.the rest of the season, coach Jonathan Gannon said Harrison's reps could increase in Cincinnati. Arizona will take his heel injury day-to-day before deciding what kind of pitch count he'll be on, just as he was last week. But the Cardinals have to balance the value he brings on the field at less than 100 percent healthy against him not being on the field at all. "If we thought that we were endangering him, we wouldn't put him out there," Gannon said.. He is third in catches and sixth in receiving yards -- far and away the most by a tight end this season in either category. Cincinnati is the most favorable matchup in the league in two key categories: most receiving yards and touchdowns surrendered to opposing tight ends in 2025.has had at least 90 receiving yards in all six home games this season and reached 100 in five of those .McBride will record at least 100 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Is it even that bold considering the matchup? This is the most productive TE this season against the Bengals, who have given up byfinished with a season-high 32.9 fantasy points last week. He faces a Cardinals defensive front that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs and that surrendered 29.8 fantasy points to Falcons'The stakes couldn't be higher for the Bucs, who had one of the hottest starts in the league through the first half of the season at 6-2 but have dropped six out of their past seven games. Those losses include three straight to divisional opponents in the past three weeks. "We understand we control our own destiny, but our biggest enemy right now is us," coach Todd Bowles said.gets his second start after coach Mike McDaniel said the rookie did "as much, if not more, than reasonably expected" last week. Don't get it confused -- he's playing because McDaniel believes he gives Miami the best chance to win. This isn't just about development with the playoffs out of the picture. As McDaniel said this week: "I don't play Monopoly with people's careers. When I say I think someone gives the best chance to win, I mean it out of integrity."will score a touchdown on a screen pass. The Bucs have run 24 screens to RBs this season, the third most in the NFL, and no team has surrendered a higher EPA per play to opponent screens than the Dolphins. The Dolphins' defense has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to WRs but still gave up 19.9 to Ja'Marr Chase in Week 16. That's something to keep in mind for managers considering starting WRsMyles Garrett , who's on the cusp of breaking the NFL sack record. "Everybody gets help against Myles Garrett," he said. "I just finished watching San Francisco tape.got help. ... It hasn't slowed down the train. He still has got 22 sacks. ... We better put schematics around . He better play well, and we better stay out of one-dimensional passing circumstances, and you still might not stop the bomb from going off." The Steelers have had trouble stopping Garrett in Cleveland recently, as he has recorded five sacks in Pittsburgh's last two trips to the Dawg Pound.as the only Browns rookie QBs to beat a Tomlin-led Steelers team. "Obviously, Shedeur did not play in the first Pittsburgh game, so first time versus that group. So you really have to spend a lot of time this week getting to know this defensive front, their coverages, those types of things," coach Kevin Stefanski said.in 2021 and Michael Strahan in 2001 for the most by any player in a single season since sacks became official in 1982.last week: 20% of targets against the Browns go to running backs , and as good as Cleveland's defense is, it allows its fair share of yards after the catch. and Gainwell delivered strong Week 16 performances, showing they can coexist in a committee behind an offensive line that ranks ninth in run block win rate . They now face a Browns run defense that has struggled in recent weeks and just surrendered 26.4 fantasy points to the Bills') four weeks ago. He hopes to be ready Sunday, which would bring much-needed help to a position group that could be without. "I'm feeling good," Williams said earlier in the week. "Just have to see how it responds. If all goes well, it will be a good thing for the Patriots."will remain the starter. In 11 quarters of playing time, he has six interceptions, three fumbles , 17 sacks and only two touchdown drives. Coach Aaron Glenn has acknowledged that Cook holds on to the ball too long but added, "All of our hands are bloody." By that, he means everyone -- players and coaches -- has to do a better job of helping Cook, whose inexperience is glaring.would become the only starting QB under 24 years old to win eight road games in a season since starts were first tracked in 1950.will record a sack for the second straight game. Maye is having an MVP-caliber season but sacks have been an area of weakness. He has taken sacks on 8.3% of dropbacks, higher than average.The Jets have already been eliminated from playoff contention. The Patriots can clinch the AFC East with a win and a Bills loss. The Patriots have averaged 148 rushing yards per game over their past three contests, the sixth most in the league. New England would be wise to lean on its running game against a Jets defense allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to RBs.New Orleans is trying to go for its fourth straight win with a roster that continues to get depleted by injuries. Coach Kellen Moore has already ruled out TEis riding a three-game streak with multiple touchdown passes. He has six TD passes over his past three games after posting seven over the first 12. It's no coincidence Tennessee is 2-1 over the recent stretch, and the team got help from the run game as well. "It was made very easy," Ward said of the run game's impact on him as a passer. "], the O-line, the run game, that's why we're trending upwards. We've just got to continue to play complementary football, help the defense out and continue to be balanced on offense." Pollard posted 100-yard rushing games in each of the past three weeks.has completed at least 60% of his passes in each of his first seven career starts. If he can make it eight, he will tie Joe Burrow for the third-longest such streak to start a career since at least 1950, when QB starts were first tracked.The Saints will hold the Titans to under four yards per carry. The Titans have been running the ball well over the past couple of weeks, but the Saints rank fifth in EPA allowed per designed run and lead the league in run stop win rate over the past two weeks.posted season highs in targets and fantasy points last week and is well-positioned for another big performance against a Titans defense that has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game to WRs. TE, who finished with 16.9 fantasy points last week, is also in a favorable spot, as he and Olave lead the Saints in targets.This game may be looked at as the fight for the No. 1 overall pick, but the Giants are more interested in snapping a nine-game losing streak. Another loss ties the franchise record of 10 straight losses, which was set last season. "I really don't think we talk about that part too much about the draft positioning and wanting a certain pick or anything like that," WRsaid. "I think we just want to go out there and play our best football and go out there and get a win."Does coach Pete Carroll care if a win weakens the team's chances of claiming the No. 1 pick? Of course not. Las Vegas made strides offensively in last week's loss. Carroll wants to build on that performance to snap the Raiders' own nine-game skid. "I'm not really that concerned about any of that, and I don't think you want me to be," Carroll said. "We're going to go play and play the best we can play and see what happens."will record a QBR over 60. He's coming off a game in which he recorded a 4.7, with an inefficient day off of a conservative game plan against the Vikings. I'm willing to bank that was defense specific, and the Giants will let him loose against Las Vegas.ESPN Analytics gives the Giants a 61% chance to win in Week 17, which would put the Raiders in a prime position to earn the top pick in April's draft. Entering Week 16, Las Vegas had a 39% chance to earn the No. 1 overall pick.finished with 25 touches and 31.8 fantasy points last week, his second-highest total. The timing is ideal, as the Raiders now face a Giants defense that has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to RBs. Jeanty should be able to capitalize on the soft matchup.. Hurts has been more selective with his feet this season and is on pace for career lows for rushing attempts and yards since taking over as the full-time starter in 2021. He has stepped it up of late, though, rushing 14 times for 79 yards over the past two games. Expect that trend to continue as the stakes rise around playoff time.has the lead in the battle for the rushing title over the Colts' Jonathan Taylor , and continuing his success on the ground could go a long way against the defending Super Bowl champions. The Eagles have allowed 123.5 rushing yards per game and given up first downs on 27.6% of rushes . " had some big games last year, but the look in his eye each week, the intensity that he shows up with, it's really been influential on our whole football team," coach Sean McDermott said. "Guys see that. That's kind of a little bit unique for a running back position player to have that type of impact on the whole team."In 2023's Week 12 battle between these two teams, Hurts and Allen both finished with multiple passing touchdowns and multiple rushing touchdowns, marking the first game in NFL history where opposing players accomplished that feat, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.Allen will rush for at least 60 yards. The Bills receivers are going to be outmatched by the Eagles in this game, so it could fall even more than usual on the shoulders of Allen to generate production.The Eagles have clinched a playoff berth and the NFC East. If the Bills lose, they will be out of contention for the AFC East title, but have still clinched a playoff berth. The Bills' defensive front has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game and now has to deal with Eagles RB, who has logged at least 20 touches and 17 fantasy points in three consecutive games. Barkley remains the focal point of a Philadelphia offense that's finally settling into an identity with the playoffs approaching.. That's step No. 1 for coach Ben Johnson, who long preached the need to get to 11 wins to get into the playoffs. The Bears can wrap up the NFC North on Sunday and are still in play for the No. 1 seed. All it takes is wins over the Niners and Lions, coupled with Seattle losing one of its remaining two games . "There's a million things that we have to continue to work on and we're still playing meaningful football right here and right now," Johnson said.San Francisco has won five straight games by double digits and clinched a playoff spot, but Chicago will be one of its toughest tests since both teams are fighting for the No. 1 seed. What's more, this game offers a good test of where both teams stack up in the wide-open NFC. "The challenge is just winning one game at a time and try to be the best that we can going into the playoffs," QBsaid. "We know what's at stake with the first seed and all that, but we can't get our minds wrapped around just that. ... So, we have to be locked in."The Bears have six wins after trailing in the final two minutes of the fourth quarter this season, the most by any team in a season since the 1970 merger.These two teams will combine for at least 70 points. If the Bears can't generate turnovers, then there will be very few stops in this game. This is also due to how well the Bears run the ball and the 49ers pass the ball, plus the weaknesses of both defenses .The Bears can clinch the NFC North with a win or a Packers loss. The 49ers have clinched a playoff berth. The Bears defense just held the Packers offense scoreless on 10 plays inside the 10-yard line. This is something to keep in mind for managers starting 49ers players like Purdy, RBis doubtful to play this week, coach Sean McVay said. Dotson left the Rams' loss to the Seahawks with an ankle injury and was in a walking boot and on crutches after the game. "It'll be hard for him to make it this week," McVay said. Dotson ranks 25th out of 62 qualifying guards in run block win rate .every day in practice, so he knows what's in store for Atlanta. Morris referred to Stafford as "weapon X" this week and said Stafford is "probably the MVP." The Falcons have to be wary, because though they are second in the league in sacks -- their highest total since 1997 -- Stafford has been sacked the ninth-fewest times among qualified QBs.defense, then there's no limit against a normal defense. The Falcons are the second-most blitz-heavy defense in the league and the Rams are even. Corum has logged at least 11 touches in three straight games and scored at least 13 fantasy points in each. He has also found the end zone in four consecutive games, putting him in a strong spot against a middle-of-the-road Falcons defensive front.is 5-10 outright and ATS on "Monday Night Football," but he is 5-1 outright and ATS in his past six instances in that role .TIMELINE: More strong storms to hit Christmas evening
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