MLB odds, predictions, and picks for New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox on September 11. MLB free pick for Yankees-Red Sox.
The Red Sox have found it difficult to stop opponents from scoring,, who gets the ball for the BoSox tonight, has a mediocre 4.36 ERA on the season that's unlikely to improve on Monday.. The 27-year-old has pitched to a 4.54 ERA, though he can at least cling to the fact he has improved throughout the season after an atrocious start. However, Schmidt hasn’t been great as of late either, with a 5.96 ERA over his last five starts.
That means we’re looking at two struggling pitchers meeting up at Fenway Park, a stadium that’s better for offense than any ballpark not named Coors Field. Extra-base hits and runs are easy to come by in Boston, and with opposing players hitting the ball hard off both starters, we can expect to see fireworks early and often tonight.
If anyone has ever watched the Yankees and Red Sox play, we also know that they’re not traditionally known for their tightly-fought pitcher duels. Over their last six meetings this year, the teams are averaging a combined 10.7 runs per game, and historically, these teams are especially prolific at Fenway Park.
Everything about this matchup points to a deluge of runs and struggles for pitchers on both sides all night long. Oddsmakers know this, and have set the total for tonight’s game at a healthy 9.5 runs. But that’s not nearly high enough to scare me away from playing the total. I’m taking the Over tonight in a game that should be wild, exciting, and filled with run scoring action from start to finish.
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