MLB predictions, picks, and odds for New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays on 4-17. MLB best bets and free picks.
The Toronto Blue Jays will look to pull off the series sweep against the Yankees, but our MLB picks believe if they do, strong pitching won't be the reason why.
Gausman has surrendered 12 earned runs on 16 hits over his first three starts which total just 9 1/3 innings, the longest of which was just 4 1/3. Gausman is sporting a grotesque 10.13 expected ERA, a .334 opponent expected batting average, and a .643 opponent expected slugging percentage. Stroman is also still giving up a .235 xBA to opponents which is just above league average . So, if the Jays — who have been doing a better job at the plate the last few series — can be patient and not try to crush everything Stroman throws, they should be able to tag him for a couple of runs.
Turner has been the best hitter on Toronto at this point in the season and is now hitting .360 with an 1.012 OPS. His .315 expected batting average is in the Top 10% of all MLB hitters this season.
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