Would a bust be all bad for San Francisco?

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Would a bust be all bad for San Francisco?
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OPINION: Long traditions of tolerance, progressive social movements, avant-garde arts and culture are what makes San Francisco special. And none of that can flourish when boom times render The City unaffordable and business pushes out culture.

In the late 1840s, San Francisco, then known as Yerba Buena, was a tiny outpost with fewer than 1,000 residents. By 1870, The City had become the most important city in the western U.S., while its population had grown by more than 14,800% to 149,473. World War II was another boom time for San Francisco as shipbuilding and other war-related industries buoyed The City’s economy leading to a population increase of 140,000 between 1940 and 1950.

The dominance of the tech boom, and the money it has brought into San Francisco politics, has meant that the primary framework for understanding San Francisco has become economic growth. There has always been more to San Francisco than that. But the space for saying it out loud and for building politics, and culture, around things other than wealth accumulation has been shrinking.

So much of what San Francisco contributed to the rest of the world from roughly 1960 to 2000 would not have been possible if the local economy had been booming that whole time. It is also true that an economic bust is not going to be good for real estate prices, many retail and tech businesses or aspiring tech billionaires.

A city as wealthy as San Francisco could have used the previous boom decades to reinforce the infrastructure and services that will be so important if the economic downturn is real. Instead, San Francisco did little to invest in, for example, affordable housing and better public transportation, so these problems will linger or get worse during the coming economic bust.

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