TOM HARRIS: Despite the continued popularity of Nicola Sturgeon personally and of her party, that dream of independence is as far away as it seemed on the morning after the 2014 referendum.
Scottish leader Douglas Ross has proved effective and impressive – but despite his everyman football referee background, he has been undermined by the revelations about Downing Street parties during lockdown.
This is key to understanding the SNP: no one ever joined that party in order to fight poverty or to campaign for a better health service or for higher school standards.If, even a decade ago, you could foresee a Scotland in which the SNP beat every other party at every level of election, you would have naturally assumed that this vision of the future was one that was comfortably outside the UK.
It is these voters – psephologists refer to them as ‘soft Unionists’ – who are key to the SNP’s and Miss Sturgeon’s ambitions. And when they were asked to choose between Leave and Remain, just 42 per cent wanted to leave the UK. This is an important achievement for Sarwar, and one that escaped his predecessors. And it is one that was feared by the SNP.
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